Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union de Santa Fe vs Deportivo Riestra

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio 15 de Abril
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Estigarribia M.
(Penalty)
24'
Sub
Gallo R. In: Goitia J.
Out: Gallo R.
28'
Goitia J.

AI Match Summary

Union de Santa Fe in this Liga Profesional matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Union de Santa Fe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Union de Santa Fe
39%
Draws
31%
Deportivo Riestra
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Union de Santa Fe have won more games recently than Deportivo Riestra.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Union de Santa Fe Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo Riestra Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union de Santa Fe Deportivo Riestra
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 11 6
Draws 10 13
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.5 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Liga Profesional
Union de Santa Fe vs Deportivo Riestra
2:0
Aug 31, 2024 Liga Profesional
Union de Santa Fe vs Deportivo Riestra
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union de Santa Fe Compare

Top Goalscorer Tarragona C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Deportivo Riestra Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union de Santa Fe 41 / 100
Deportivo Riestra 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union de Santa Fe Deportivo Riestra

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union de Santa Fe found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Deportivo Riestra has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: Union de Santa Fe remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Union de Santa Fe VS Deportivo Riestra
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.1694319:731
2Boca Juniors1686222:930
3Velez Sarsfield1677218:1228
4Talleres Cordoba1675417:1326
5Independiente1666424:2024
6Lanus1666418:1524
7San Lorenzo1657414:1422
8Union de Santa Fe1656524:2021
9Instituto1663717:1721
10Defensa y Justicia1647518:2119
11Gimnasia Mendoza1654714:2219
12Platense1637610:1516
13Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)1644811:2116
14Newells Old Boys1636715:2715
15Deportivo Riestra161875:1211
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ind. Rivadavia16104229:1534
2River Plate1692522:1229
3Argentinos Jrs1685317:1329
4Rosario Central1684420:1628
5CA Belgrano de Cordoba1675417:1326
6Gimnasia L.P.1682619:1926
7Huracan1657417:1322
8Racing Club1656517:1521
9Barracas Central1656515:1521
10Tigre1648418:1520
11Sarmiento Junin1661913:2019
12Banfield1653817:1918
13Atl. Tucuman1635815:2014
14Aldosivi160886:198
15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1612135:245