Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union de Santa Fe vs Gimnasia Mendoza

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio 15 de Abril
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Profini R.
Assist: Luduena J.
27'
Saavedra F.
34'
Sub
Lencioni F. In: Modica A.
Out: Lencioni F.

AI Match Summary

Union de Santa Fe in this Liga Profesional matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Union de Santa Fe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Union de Santa Fe
30%
Draws
34%
Gimnasia Mendoza
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Union de Santa Fe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Gimnasia Mendoza have won more games recently than Union de Santa Fe.
  • Win probability leans Union de Santa Fe's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Liga Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Union de Santa Fe Clean Sheet 68%
Gimnasia Mendoza Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union de Santa Fe Gimnasia Mendoza
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 10 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2026 Liga Profesional
Union de Santa Fe vs Gimnasia Mendoza
4:0
Apr 18, 2024 Copa Argentina
Union de Santa Fe vs Gimnasia Mendoza
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union de Santa Fe Compare

Top Goalscorer Profini R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diaz D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Gimnasia Mendoza Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union de Santa Fe 46 / 100
Gimnasia Mendoza 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union de Santa Fe Gimnasia Mendoza

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Union de Santa Fe found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Gimnasia Mendoza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Union de Santa Fe has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Union de Santa Fe VS Gimnasia Mendoza
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.1694319:731
2Boca Juniors1686222:930
3Velez Sarsfield1677218:1228
4Talleres Cordoba1675417:1326
5Independiente1666424:2024
6Lanus1666418:1524
7San Lorenzo1657414:1422
8Union de Santa Fe1656524:2021
9Instituto1663717:1721
10Defensa y Justicia1647518:2119
11Gimnasia Mendoza1654714:2219
12Platense1637610:1516
13Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)1644811:2116
14Newells Old Boys1636715:2715
15Deportivo Riestra161875:1211
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ind. Rivadavia16104229:1534
2River Plate1692522:1229
3Argentinos Jrs1685317:1329
4Rosario Central1684420:1628
5CA Belgrano de Cordoba1675417:1326
6Gimnasia L.P.1682619:1926
7Huracan1657417:1322
8Racing Club1656517:1521
9Barracas Central1656515:1521
10Tigre1648418:1520
11Sarmiento Junin1661913:2019
12Banfield1653817:1918
13Atl. Tucuman1635815:2014
14Aldosivi160886:198
15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1612135:245