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Union Estepona CF vs AD Huercal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

Union Estepona CF in this Tercera Division - Group 9 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Union Estepona CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Union Estepona CF
15%
Draws
85%
AD Huercal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Huercal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AD Huercal lately — more wins on the board than Union Estepona CF.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Union Estepona CF Clean Sheet 13%
AD Huercal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Estepona CF AD Huercal
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 3
Draws 1 1
Losses 27 26
Goals Scored 0.33 0.83
Goals Conceded 2.1 3.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.85 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
AD Huercal vs Union Estepona CF
2:0
Dec 15, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Union Estepona CF vs AD Huercal
1:0
May 12, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Union Estepona CF vs AD Huercal
2:1
Dec 23, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
AD Huercal vs Union Estepona CF
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Estepona CF 31 / 100
AD Huercal 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Estepona CF AD Huercal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: AD Huercal conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: AD Huercal has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Union Estepona CF's goal record stands at 20% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Union Estepona CF VS AD Huercal
0 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 4.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Estepona CF

(Home)
11 May
Union Estepona CF
0 : 2
Melilla B
04 May
Maracena
2 : 0
Union Estepona CF
01 May
AD Huercal
2 : 0
Union Estepona CF
27 Apr
Union Estepona CF
0 : 2
Huetor Tajar
06 Apr
Union Estepona CF
0 : 2
Atarfe Industrial
Page 1 of 6

AD Huercal

(Away)
11 May
AD Huercal
1 : 6
Los Molinos CF
03 May
Melilla B
3 : 0
AD Huercal
01 May
AD Huercal
2 : 0
Union Estepona CF
27 Apr
AD Huercal
2 : 3
Martos
12 Apr
Malaga B
3 : 1
AD Huercal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Palo 38 20 14 4 72:36 74
2 Mancha 38 20 12 6 50:27 72
3 Granada CF B 38 21 9 8 73:35 72
4 Malaga B 38 20 11 7 71:27 71
5 Linares 38 20 10 8 52:30 70
6 Villacarrillo 38 18 11 9 66:41 65
7 Martos 38 18 10 10 52:45 64
8 Velez 38 14 14 10 51:47 56
9 Atarfe Industrial 38 14 11 13 58:48 53
10 Maracena 38 13 12 13 47:49 51
11 Marbella 38 11 16 11 52:53 49
12 Melilla B 38 13 9 16 43:44 48
13 UD San Pedro 38 12 11 15 50:45 47
14 CD Ronda 38 12 9 17 53:56 45
15 Union Estepona CF 38 12 9 17 45:55 45
16 Huetor Tajar 38 10 11 17 44:67 41
17 AD Huercal 38 6 13 19 33:73 31
18 Torremolinos 38 6 12 20 32:67 30
19 Alhaurin 38 5 8 25 30:80 23
20 Comarca 38 5 8 25 26:75 23
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)