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Union Estepona CF vs Huetor Tajar

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2012/2013 game between Union Estepona CF and Huetor Tajar finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Union Estepona CF
15%
Draws
85%
Huetor Tajar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Huetor Tajar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Huetor Tajar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Huetor Tajar a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Union Estepona CF Clean Sheet 20%
Huetor Tajar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Estepona CF Huetor Tajar
Matches Played 33 38
Wins 4 14
Draws 2 12
Losses 27 12
Goals Scored 0.52 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.05
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Union Estepona CF vs Huetor Tajar
0:2
Dec 1, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Tajar vs Union Estepona CF
1:0
Apr 14, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Union Estepona CF vs Huetor Tajar
1:1
Nov 25, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Tajar vs Union Estepona CF
0:1
Jan 8, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Union Estepona CF vs Huetor Tajar
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Estepona CF 10 / 100
Huetor Tajar 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Estepona CF Huetor Tajar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Huetor Tajar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Huetor Tajar conceded in 76% of 38 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Huetor Tajar has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Union Estepona CF's goal record stands at 24% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Huetor Tajar
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Estepona CF

(Home)
11 May
Union Estepona CF
0 : 2
Melilla B
04 May
Maracena
2 : 0
Union Estepona CF
01 May
AD Huercal
2 : 0
Union Estepona CF
27 Apr
Union Estepona CF
0 : 2
Huetor Tajar
06 Apr
Union Estepona CF
0 : 2
Atarfe Industrial
Page 1 of 7

Huetor Tajar

(Away)
10 May
Huetor Tajar
3 : 1
Melilla B
03 May
Martos
1 : 0
Huetor Tajar
26 Apr
Huetor Tajar
0 : 1
Mijas Las Lagunas
19 Apr
Marbelli
2 : 1
Huetor Tajar
11 Apr
Huetor Tajar
2 : 1
Mancha
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Palo 38 20 14 4 72:36 74
2 Mancha 38 20 12 6 50:27 72
3 Granada CF B 38 21 9 8 73:35 72
4 Malaga B 38 20 11 7 71:27 71
5 Linares 38 20 10 8 52:30 70
6 Villacarrillo 38 18 11 9 66:41 65
7 Martos 38 18 10 10 52:45 64
8 Velez 38 14 14 10 51:47 56
9 Atarfe Industrial 38 14 11 13 58:48 53
10 Maracena 38 13 12 13 47:49 51
11 Marbella 38 11 16 11 52:53 49
12 Melilla B 38 13 9 16 43:44 48
13 UD San Pedro 38 12 11 15 50:45 47
14 CD Ronda 38 12 9 17 53:56 45
15 Union Estepona CF 38 12 9 17 45:55 45
16 Huetor Tajar 38 10 11 17 44:67 41
17 AD Huercal 38 6 13 19 33:73 31
18 Torremolinos 38 6 12 20 32:67 30
19 Alhaurin 38 5 8 25 30:80 23
20 Comarca 38 5 8 25 26:75 23
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)