Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union Gurten vs Ried (Am)

Austria Austria

Regionalliga Central Park21-Arena, Gurten
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Sickinger F.
52' Event
Kreuzer J.
(Penalty)
53' Event
Kreuzer J.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Central game between Union Gurten and Ried (Am) finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Union Gurten.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Union Gurten
15%
Draws
0%
Ried (Am)
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Union Gurten

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Union Gurten carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Union Gurten taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Union Gurten have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Union Gurten Clean Sheet 20%
Ried (Am) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Gurten Ried (Am)
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 10
Draws 2 2
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.66 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.1 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Regionalliga Central
Union Gurten vs Ried (Am)
3:0
Oct 5, 2025 Regionalliga Central
Ried (Am) vs Union Gurten
0:1
Apr 4, 2025 Regionalliga Central
Union Gurten vs Ried (Am)
3:1
Sep 5, 2024 Regionalliga Central
Ried (Am) vs Union Gurten
4:0
Apr 5, 2024 Regionalliga Central
Union Gurten vs Ried (Am)
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Gurten Compare

Top Goalscorer Sickinger F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kreuzer J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Ried (Am) Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Gurten 85 / 100
Ried (Am) 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Gurten Ried (Am)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Gurten Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Gurten found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Ried (Am) has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: Ried (Am) registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Union Gurten VS Ried (Am)
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Gurten

(Home)
18 Sept
Wallern/St Marienkirchen
2 : 0
Union Gurten
11 Sept
Union Gurten
4 : 1
Pinzgau Saalfelden
04 Sept
Kuchl
0 : 1
Union Gurten
28 Aug
Union Gurten
1 : 1
LASK Linz (Am)
22 Aug
Grodig
1 : 0
Union Gurten
Page 1 of 6

Ried (Am)

(Away)
19 Sept
Johann
3 : 1
Ried (Am)
12 Sept
Ried (Am)
0 : 5
Wallern/St Marienkirchen
04 Sept
Pinzgau Saalfelden
2 : 0
Ried (Am)
29 Aug
Ried (Am)
0 : 3
Kuchl
22 Aug
LASK Linz (Am)
3 : 1
Ried (Am)
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ASK Voitsberg 30 26 2 2 113:21 80
2 Union Gurten 30 20 4 6 59:28 64
3 LASK Linz (Am) 30 15 6 9 66:44 51
4 Deutschlandsberger Wonisch 30 14 9 7 60:52 51
5 SC Kalsdorf 30 15 4 11 59:53 49
6 Atus Velden 30 13 7 10 50:47 46
7 Lafnitz 30 12 6 12 55:60 42
8 Wallern/St Marienkirchen 30 12 4 14 44:51 40
9 SC Weiz 30 10 9 11 61:66 39
10 Wolfsberger AC (Am) 30 9 7 14 45:46 34
11 Dietach 30 9 5 16 33:57 32
12 Gleisdorf 30 7 9 14 43:72 30
13 Ried (Am) 30 7 4 19 41:72 25
14 Treibach 30 7 3 20 35:71 24
15 Weindorf St. Anna 30 2 5 23 22:76 11
16 ASKO Oedt 30 15 10 5 62:32 55
Promotion - 2. Liga (Main)