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Union Gurten vs SC Kalsdorf

Austria Austria

Regionalliga Central Park21-Arena
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Union Gurten play SC Kalsdorf in the Regionalliga Central. It looks like a close match. Recently, Union Gurten averaged 1.7 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. SC Kalsdorf averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Union Gurten won 3, SC Kalsdorf won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 22, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Union Gurten and 1.13 for SC Kalsdorf. This points to a Union Gurten double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Union Gurten
15%
Draws
35%
SC Kalsdorf
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Union Gurten

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Union Gurten picked up more points recently compared to SC Kalsdorf.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Union Gurten Clean Sheet 21%
SC Kalsdorf Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Gurten SC Kalsdorf
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 15
Draws 2 3
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.7 1.93
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Regionalliga Central
Union Gurten vs SC Kalsdorf
2:0
Oct 24, 2025 Regionalliga Central
SC Kalsdorf vs Union Gurten
4:1
Apr 25, 2023 Regionalliga Central
Union Gurten vs SC Kalsdorf
5:1
Sep 2, 2022 Regionalliga Central
SC Kalsdorf vs Union Gurten
0:4
May 27, 2022 Regionalliga Central
SC Kalsdorf vs Union Gurten
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Gurten Compare

Top Goalscorer Burghuber T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Schott T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

SC Kalsdorf Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Gurten 49 / 100
SC Kalsdorf 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Gurten SC Kalsdorf

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Union Gurten or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Union Gurten attacking → ← attacking SC Kalsdorf

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Gurten scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

SC Kalsdorf let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Union Gurten went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

SC Kalsdorf lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

62 Points in last 5 48
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1ASK Voitsberg302622113:2180
2Union Gurten30204659:2864
3LASK Linz (Am)30156966:4451
4Deutschlandsberger Wonisch30149760:5251
5SC Kalsdorf301541159:5349
6Atus Velden301371050:4746
7Lafnitz301261255:6042
8Wallern/St Marienkirchen301241444:5140
9SC Weiz301091161:6639
10Wolfsberger AC (Am)30971445:4634
11Dietach30951633:5732
12Gleisdorf30791443:7230
13Ried (Am)30741941:7225
14Treibach30732035:7124
15Weindorf St. Anna30252322:7611
16ASKO Oedt301510562:3255