Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union Huaral vs Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Laura A.
9' Event
Paye E.
23'
Tuesta J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga 2 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Union Huaral
17%
Draws
70%
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Union Huaral haven't matched Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)'s recent run of results.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) taking it.
  • Regular Liga 2 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Union Huaral Clean Sheet 19%
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Huaral Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 3 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 23 13
Goals Scored 0.25 0.33
Goals Conceded 2.25 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 0.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 2.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2023 Liga 2
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) vs Union Huaral
0:3
May 24, 2023 Liga 2
Union Huaral vs Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
1:1
Sep 11, 2022 Liga 2
Union Huaral vs Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
1:0
Jun 12, 2022 Liga 2
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) vs Union Huaral
1:1
Sep 7, 2014 Liga 2
Union Huaral vs Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Huaral Compare

Top Goalscorer Laura A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) Compare

Top Goalscorer Paye E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.3
Avg xA / game 0.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Huaral 16 / 100
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Huaral Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Union Huaral found the back of the net in 39% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Union Huaral VS Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
0.25 Goals Scored 0.33
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.33
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Huaral

(Home)
06 Jul
Union Huaral
0 : 3
Juan Pablo II
03 Jul
Llacuabamba
3 : 0
Union Huaral
30 Jun
Union Huaral
0 : 3
Alianza Huanuco
15 Jun
Union Huaral
0 : 3
ADA Jaen
09 Jun
Carlos Stein
3 : 0
Union Huaral
Page 1 of 7

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)

(Away)
30 Sept
Santos FC
3 : 0
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
18 Sept
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
0 : 3
Juan Aurich
13 Sept
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
1 : 1
Ayacucho
05 Sept
Carlos Stein
3 : 0
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
31 Aug
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
3 : 1
U. San Martin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Comerciantes Unidos26203354:2263
2Los Chankas26165572:2553
3Alianza Huanuco26156543:2551
4Llacuabamba26137644:3146
5Santos FC26126832:2442
6Comerciantes FC26116927:2639
7U. San Martin261061034:3036
8Deportivo Coopsol261061030:2936
9Juan Aurich26710923:2731
10Union Huaral26591222:3424
11Ayacucho26581337:5023
12Pirata26561522:5921
13Carlos Stein26152026:768
14Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)26691136:4427
Promotion - Liga 1 2024 (Apertura)
Promotion - Liga 2 2023 (Promotion - Play Offs)