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Union Huaral vs Defensor San Alejandro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Segunda Division 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Union Huaral in this Segunda Division 2014 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Union Huaral.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Union Huaral
15%
Draws
85%
Defensor San Alejandro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Defensor San Alejandro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Union Huaral have won more games recently than Defensor San Alejandro.
  • Model gives Defensor San Alejandro a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Union Huaral Clean Sheet 17%
Defensor San Alejandro Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Huaral Defensor San Alejandro
Matches Played 50 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 10 9
Losses 27 11
Goals Scored 1.02 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2014 Liga 2
Union Huaral vs Defensor San Alejandro
2:0
Jun 29, 2014 Liga 2
Defensor San Alejandro vs Union Huaral
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Huaral 10 / 100
Defensor San Alejandro 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Huaral Defensor San Alejandro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Defensor San Alejandro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Defensor San Alejandro conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Defensor San Alejandro's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Union Huaral found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (49 games).

Scoring Trends

Union Huaral VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Huaral

(Home)
06 Jul
Union Huaral
0 : 3
Juan Pablo II
03 Jul
Llacuabamba
3 : 0
Union Huaral
30 Jun
Union Huaral
0 : 3
Alianza Huanuco
15 Jun
Union Huaral
0 : 3
ADA Jaen
09 Jun
Carlos Stein
3 : 0
Union Huaral
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Defensor San Alejandro

(Away)
30 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
2 : 0
Jose Galvez
23 Nov
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
3 : 2
Defensor San Alejandro
16 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 2
Dep. Municipal
07 Nov
Willy Serrato
3 : 0
Defensor San Alejandro
03 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 2
Sport Victoria
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Municipal 30 18 7 5 49:29 61
2 Deportivo Coopsol 30 17 7 6 53:26 58
3 Carlos Mannucci 30 17 4 9 46:32 55
4 Alianza Huanuco 30 15 8 7 51:30 53
5 Willy Serrato 30 12 10 8 44:37 46
6 Union Huaral 30 11 7 12 38:37 40
7 Defensor San Alejandro 30 10 9 11 37:37 39
8 Atl. Minero 30 10 9 11 30:40 39
9 Atletico Torino 30 9 10 11 37:34 37
10 Pacifico 30 9 8 13 33:44 35
11 Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) 30 11 6 13 36:50 35
12 Sport Boys 30 8 13 9 42:47 33
13 Sport Victoria 30 7 10 13 31:38 31
14 Comerciantes Unidos 30 7 9 14 29:36 30
15 Jose Galvez 30 7 10 13 25:39 25
16 Walter Ormeno 30 4 9 17 21:46 19
Promotion - Primera Division 2015 (Apertura)