Sport Picks
Union La Calera vs A. Italiano
Chile
Copa de la Liga Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán, La Calera 
Match Events
21'
21'
Palma N.
22'
22'
Troyansky F.
(Penalty)
27'
27'
Sub
Leiva Y. In: Moya C.
Out: Leiva Y.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: A. Italiano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
25%
/ Low Confidence
- A. Italiano carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- A. Italiano arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor A. Italiano, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Union La Calera Clean Sheet 68%
A. Italiano Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Union La Calera | A. Italiano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Liga de Primera
A. Italiano vs Union La Calera
0:0
May 2, 2026 Copa de la Liga
A. Italiano vs Union La Calera
1:1
Mar 20, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Union La Calera vs A. Italiano
0:1
Feb 27, 2026 Liga de Primera
Union La Calera vs A. Italiano
3:0
Oct 17, 2025 Liga de Primera
A. Italiano vs Union La Calera
4:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Union La Calera 41 / 100
A. Italiano 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Union La Calera A. Italiano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Union La Calera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Union La Calera found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).
A. Italiano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Union La Calera has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Union La Calera VS A. Italiano
1 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Union La Calera
(Home) 23 Sept
Union La Calera
1 : 1 U. Catolica
14 Sept
Union La Calera
1 : 0 Limache
06 Sept
O Higgins
2 : 1 Union La Calera
31 Aug
Union La Calera
0 : 1 La Serena
22 Aug
A. Italiano
0 : 0 Union La Calera
Page 1 of 6
23 Sept
Union La Calera
1 : 1 U. Catolica
14 Sept
Union La Calera
1 : 0 Limache
31 Aug
Union La Calera
0 : 1 La Serena
09 Aug
Union La Calera
1 : 2 Colo Colo
27 Jul
Union La Calera
1 : 1 Everton
Page 1 of 3
A. Italiano
(Away) 22 Sept
A. Italiano
0 : 0 Colo Colo
13 Sept
A. Italiano
1 : 0 O Higgins
05 Sept
D. Concepcion
0 : 1 A. Italiano
30 Aug
Colo Colo
5 : 1 A. Italiano
22 Aug
A. Italiano
0 : 0 Union La Calera
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
D. Concepcion
0 : 1 A. Italiano
30 Aug
Colo Colo
5 : 1 A. Italiano
16 Aug
Everton
1 : 1 A. Italiano
01 Aug
U. De Concepcion
0 : 1 A. Italiano
11 Jul
Magallanes
0 : 1 A. Italiano
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coquimbo | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 14 |
| 2 | Colo Colo | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 10 |
| 3 | Huachipato | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 8 |
| 4 | D. Concepcion | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nublense | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | 14 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 11 |
| 3 | U. De Concepcion | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | 4 |
| 4 | Cobresal | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:14 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O Higgins | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:6 | 14 |
| 2 | Everton | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 3 | Limache | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | 6 |
| 4 | Palestino | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | 5 |
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union La Calera | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 13 |
| 2 | A. Italiano | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:9 | 11 |
| 3 | U. De Chile | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12:7 | 8 |
| 4 | La Serena | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6:18 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)
