Sport Picks

Chile

Copa de la Liga Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán

Union La Calera

0 - 1

A. Italiano

Our Tip

Match Events

21'

Palma N.

22'

Troyansky F.

(Penalty)

27'

Sub

Leiva Y. In: Moya C.

Out: Leiva Y.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Copa de la Liga game between Union La Calera and A. Italiano finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward A. Italiano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Union La Calera

33%

Draws

27%

A. Italiano

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Union La Calera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

A. Italiano carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Union La Calera a 40% chance of winning this.
European nights carry their own weight — this Copa de la Liga fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%

Union La Calera Clean Sheet 68%

A. Italiano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Union La Calera	A. Italiano
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	9	13
Draws	7	6
Losses	14	12
Goals Scored	1.63	1.38
Goals Conceded	1	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Copa de la Liga

A. Italiano vs Union La Calera

Possession: 42% - 56% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Mar 20, 2026 Copa de la Liga

Union La Calera vs A. Italiano

Possession: 46% - 46% Cards: 2 - 3

0:1

Feb 27, 2026 Liga de Primera

Union La Calera vs A. Italiano

Possession: 55% - 52% Cards: 1 - 1

3:0

Oct 17, 2025 Liga de Primera

A. Italiano vs Union La Calera

Possession: 56% - 56% Cards: 0 - 1

4:3

Apr 25, 2025 Liga de Primera

Union La Calera vs A. Italiano

Possession: 47% - 41% Cards: 0 - 3

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union La Calera 50 / 100

A. Italiano 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Union La Calera A. Italiano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

A. Italiano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Union La Calera's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Union La Calera remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Union La Calera VS A. Italiano

1.63 Goals Scored 1.38

1 Goals Conceded 1.38

75% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Coquimbo	6	4	2	0	9:5	14
2	Colo Colo	6	3	1	2	8:5	10
3	Huachipato	6	2	2	2	6:6	8
4	D. Concepcion	6	0	1	5	6:13	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nublense	6	4	2	0	9:3	14
2	U. Catolica	6	3	2	1	13:7	11
3	U. De Concepcion	6	1	1	4	7:11	4
4	Cobresal	6	1	1	4	6:14	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	O Higgins	6	4	2	0	11:6	14
2	Everton	6	2	1	3	8:9	7
3	Limache	6	1	3	2	7:8	6
4	Palestino	6	1	2	3	9:12	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Union La Calera	6	4	1	1	7:3	13
2	A. Italiano	6	3	2	1	12:9	11
3	U. De Chile	6	2	2	2	12:7	8
4	La Serena	6	0	1	5	6:18	1