Sport Picks
Union La Calera vs La Serena
Chile
Copa de la Liga Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán, La Calera 
Match Events
32'
32'
Vargas J.
36'
36'
Gutierrez D.
55'
55'
Sub
Gutierrez D. In: Pastene A.
Out: Gutierrez D.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: La Serena
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Union La Calera lately — more wins on the board than La Serena.
- Model gives Union La Calera a 36% chance of winning this.
- Union La Calera have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor La Serena, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Union La Calera Clean Sheet 16%
La Serena Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Union La Calera | La Serena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 2.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 31, 2026 Liga de Primera
Union La Calera vs La Serena
0:1
Jun 7, 2026 Copa de la Liga
La Serena vs Union La Calera
0:2
Mar 28, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Union La Calera vs La Serena
2:1
Mar 6, 2026 Liga de Primera
La Serena vs Union La Calera
3:0
Aug 16, 2025 Liga de Primera
Union La Calera vs La Serena
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Union La Calera Compare
Top Goalscorer Campos M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Saez S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
La Serena Compare
Top Goalscorer Vargas J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Union La Calera 36 / 100
La Serena 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Union La Calera La Serena
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Union La Calera scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.
La Serena has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Union La Calera stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Union La Calera VS La Serena
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Union La Calera
(Home) 26 Sept
U. Catolica
0 : 1 Union La Calera
23 Sept
Union La Calera
1 : 1 U. Catolica
14 Sept
Union La Calera
1 : 0 Limache
06 Sept
O Higgins
2 : 1 Union La Calera
31 Aug
Union La Calera
0 : 1 La Serena
Page 1 of 7
23 Sept
Union La Calera
1 : 1 U. Catolica
14 Sept
Union La Calera
1 : 0 Limache
31 Aug
Union La Calera
0 : 1 La Serena
09 Aug
Union La Calera
1 : 2 Colo Colo
27 Jul
Union La Calera
1 : 1 Everton
Page 1 of 3
La Serena
(Away) 13 Sept
La Serena
0 : 3 U. De Chile
06 Sept
La Serena
2 : 1 Nublense
31 Aug
Union La Calera
0 : 1 La Serena
23 Aug
La Serena
3 : 3 Cobresal
14 Aug
U. De Concepcion
0 : 2 La Serena
Page 1 of 6
31 Aug
Union La Calera
0 : 1 La Serena
14 Aug
U. De Concepcion
0 : 2 La Serena
08 Aug
Coquimbo
1 : 1 La Serena
26 Jul
U. Catolica
3 : 3 La Serena
12 Jul
Cobreloa
1 : 0 La Serena
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coquimbo | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 14 |
| 2 | Colo Colo | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 10 |
| 3 | Huachipato | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 8 |
| 4 | D. Concepcion | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nublense | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | 14 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 11 |
| 3 | U. De Concepcion | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | 4 |
| 4 | Cobresal | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:14 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O Higgins | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:6 | 14 |
| 2 | Everton | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 3 | Limache | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | 6 |
| 4 | Palestino | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | 5 |
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union La Calera | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 13 |
| 2 | A. Italiano | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:9 | 11 |
| 3 | U. De Chile | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12:7 | 8 |
| 4 | La Serena | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6:18 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)
