Sport Picks
Union La Calera vs La Serena
Chile
Liga de Primera Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán, La Calera 
Match Events
38'
38'
Chamorro F.
43'
43'
Vargas J.
Assist: Pinto M.
46'
46'
Marin M.
AI Match Summary
La Serena in this Liga de Primera matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored La Serena.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: La Serena
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Union La Calera have won more games recently than La Serena.
- Win probability leans Union La Calera's way, sitting at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Union La Calera Clean Sheet 16%
La Serena Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Union La Calera | La Serena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 2.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 31, 2026 Liga de Primera
Union La Calera vs La Serena
0:1
Jun 7, 2026 Copa de la Liga
La Serena vs Union La Calera
0:2
Mar 28, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Union La Calera vs La Serena
2:1
Mar 6, 2026 Liga de Primera
La Serena vs Union La Calera
3:0
Aug 16, 2025 Liga de Primera
Union La Calera vs La Serena
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Union La Calera Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
La Serena Compare
Top Goalscorer Vargas J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Union La Calera 36 / 100
La Serena 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Union La Calera La Serena
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Union La Calera's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
La Serena let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Union La Calera went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Union La Calera VS La Serena
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Union La Calera
(Home) 26 Sept
U. Catolica
0 : 1 Union La Calera
23 Sept
Union La Calera
1 : 1 U. Catolica
14 Sept
Union La Calera
1 : 0 Limache
06 Sept
O Higgins
2 : 1 Union La Calera
31 Aug
Union La Calera
0 : 1 La Serena
Page 1 of 7
23 Sept
Union La Calera
1 : 1 U. Catolica
14 Sept
Union La Calera
1 : 0 Limache
31 Aug
Union La Calera
0 : 1 La Serena
09 Aug
Union La Calera
1 : 2 Colo Colo
27 Jul
Union La Calera
1 : 1 Everton
Page 1 of 3
La Serena
(Away) 13 Sept
La Serena
0 : 3 U. De Chile
06 Sept
La Serena
2 : 1 Nublense
31 Aug
Union La Calera
0 : 1 La Serena
23 Aug
La Serena
3 : 3 Cobresal
14 Aug
U. De Concepcion
0 : 2 La Serena
Page 1 of 6
31 Aug
Union La Calera
0 : 1 La Serena
14 Aug
U. De Concepcion
0 : 2 La Serena
08 Aug
Coquimbo
1 : 1 La Serena
26 Jul
U. Catolica
3 : 3 La Serena
12 Jul
Cobreloa
1 : 0 La Serena
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 48:22 | 54 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 50:33 | 42 |
| 3 | U. De Chile | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 35:19 | 42 |
| 4 | Everton | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 37:25 | 36 |
| 5 | Palestino | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 36:33 | 36 |
| 6 | Limache | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 43:35 | 33 |
| 7 | Nublense | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 28:31 | 32 |
| 8 | D. Concepcion | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 25:26 | 31 |
| 9 | La Serena | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 34:38 | 30 |
| 10 | Coquimbo | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 31:32 | 29 |
| 11 | A. Italiano | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 26:31 | 28 |
| 12 | Huachipato | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 30:39 | 28 |
| 13 | O Higgins | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 28:36 | 27 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 34:44 | 24 |
| 15 | U. De Concepcion | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 17:37 | 22 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19:40 | 17 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga de Ascenso 2027 (Main)
