Sport Picks
Union Magdalena vs Leones Prediction & H2H Stats
Colombia
Primera B Estadio Sierra Nevada, Santa Marta 
AI Match Summary
Union Magdalena host Leones in the Primera B. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Leones have shipped 1.55 goals a game lately, while Union Magdalena have conceded 1.03 and scored 1.35. Past meetings favor Union Magdalena slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2026, ending 1:3. xG projections (1.31 - 1.00) back Union Magdalena to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Union Magdalena come out ahead of Leones on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Union Magdalena's way, sitting at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Union Magdalena | Leones |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.35 | 0.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Union Magdalena scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.
Defensive concern: Leones conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
Solid form: Union Magdalena remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Union Magdalena
(Home)Leones
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Cundinamarca | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:9 | 20 |
| 2 | Independiente Valle del Cauca | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14:6 | 20 |
| 3 | Tigres Futbol Club | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12:4 | 18 |
| 4 | Patriotas | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:16 | 17 |
| 5 | Cartagena | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17:11 | 15 |
| 6 | Boca Juniors de Cali | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:11 | 14 |
| 7 | Atletico F.C. | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:15 | 14 |
| 8 | Inter Palmira | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 8:11 | 14 |
| 9 | Quindio | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8:8 | 13 |
| 10 | Real Santander | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12:15 | 12 |
| 11 | Envigado | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 12 | Bogota | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6:10 | 11 |
| 13 | Orsomarso | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7:10 | 10 |
| 14 | Leones | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7:16 | 9 |
| 15 | Union Magdalena | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6:10 | 8 |
| 16 | Barranquilla | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:16 | 8 |
