Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union Magdalena W vs Alianza W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Aguila Women 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Union Magdalena W in this Liga Aguila Women 2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Union Magdalena W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Union Magdalena W
15%
Draws
0%
Alianza W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Union Magdalena W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Union Magdalena W lately — more wins on the board than Alianza W.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Union Magdalena W taking it.
  • Regular Liga Aguila Women 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Union Magdalena W Clean Sheet 20%
Alianza W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Magdalena W Alianza W
Matches Played 20 34
Wins 10 8
Draws 2 4
Losses 8 22
Goals Scored 1.3 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.3 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2017 Liga Women
Alianza W vs Union Magdalena W
2:5
Mar 4, 2017 Liga Women
Union Magdalena W vs Alianza W
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Magdalena W 67 / 100
Alianza W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Magdalena W Alianza W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Magdalena W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Alianza W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Union Magdalena W scored in 70% of their last 20 games.

Defensive concern: Alianza W conceded in 79% of 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alianza W
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Magdalena W

(Home)
13 May
Huila W
2 : 0
Union Magdalena W
10 May
Union Magdalena W
0 : 4
Huila W
06 May
Union Magdalena W
1 : 0
Junior W
25 Apr
Atl. Nacional W
3 : 1
Union Magdalena W
21 Mar
Union Magdalena W
4 : 0
Cartagena W
Page 1 of 4

Alianza W

(Away)
21 Jun
Real Santander W
3 : 2
Alianza W
14 Jun
Alianza W
0 : 3
Millonarios W
10 Jun
Junior W
4 : 3
Alianza W
24 May
Alianza W
1 : 2
Inter Palmira W
17 May
Dep. Cali W
1 : 0
Alianza W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Envigado W 10 10 0 0 36:3 30
2 Bucaramanga W 10 6 0 4 19:11 18
3 Cartagena W 10 5 1 4 14:12 16
4 Union Magdalena W 10 5 1 4 13:14 16
5 Alianza W 10 1 1 8 10:33 4
6 Real Santander W 10 1 1 8 7:26 4
Promotion - Liga Aguila Women 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indep. Santa Fe W 10 10 0 0 32:5 30
2 Cucuta W 10 6 0 4 22:16 18
3 Huila W 10 5 2 3 21:13 17
4 Patriotas W 10 2 3 5 11:20 9
5 Fortaleza W 10 2 1 7 8:23 7
6 Inter Bogotá W 10 2 0 8 6:23 6
Promotion - Liga Aguila Women 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Orsomarso W 10 8 1 1 22:4 25
2 Inter Palmira W 10 6 2 2 23:8 20
3 America de Cali W 10 5 4 1 24:9 19
4 Dep. Pasto W 10 2 1 7 6:26 7
5 Quindio W 10 2 1 7 8:19 7
6 Deportivo Pereira W 10 2 1 7 10:27 7
Promotion - Liga Aguila Women 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams