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Union Minas vs Union Comercio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2 Estadio Huancayo, Huancayo
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Velasco S.
25' Event
Guerrero G.
30'
Sub
Velasco S. In: Ruiz C.
Out: Velasco S.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 game between Union Minas and Union Comercio finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Union Minas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Union Minas
20%
Draws
33%
Union Comercio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Union Minas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Union Comercio come out ahead of Union Minas on wins alone.
  • Model gives Union Minas a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Union Minas Clean Sheet 68%
Union Comercio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Minas Union Comercio
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 11 16
Draws 8 7
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.59 1.32
Goals Conceded 0.89 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 Liga 2
Union Minas vs Union Comercio
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Minas Compare

Top Goalscorer Mena Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Trujillo L.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Union Comercio Compare

Top Goalscorer Guerrero G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Minas 86 / 100
Union Comercio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Minas Union Comercio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Minas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Union Minas scored in 63% of their last 27 games.

Recent resilience: Union Minas stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Union Comercio conceded in 45% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Union Minas VS Union Comercio
2.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Minas

(Home)
06 Oct
Union Minas
4 : 1
Union Comercio
26 Sept
Ayacucho
1 : 0
Union Minas
12 Sept
Union Minas
2 : 0
Santos FC
06 Sept
Alianza Huanuco
1 : 1
Union Minas
30 Aug
Union Minas
2 : 1
Sport Huancayo 2
Page 1 of 6

Union Comercio

(Away)
06 Oct
Union Minas
4 : 1
Union Comercio
27 Sept
Union Comercio
2 : 0
Pirata
13 Sept
ADA Jaen
1 : 0
Union Comercio
06 Sept
Union Comercio
1 : 0
U. San Martin
30 Aug
Llacuabamba
1 : 1
Union Comercio
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 2 1 0 1 3:4 5
2 Union Minas 2 1 0 1 4:2 4
3 Pirata 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
4 Ayacucho 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llacuabamba 2 1 1 0 4:0 5
2 ADA Jaen 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
3 Sport Huancayo 2 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
4 Comerciantes FC 2 0 0 2 0:5 2
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carlos Mannucci 1 1 0 0 7:0 5
2 U. San Martin 2 1 0 1 2:8 3
3 Tacna Heroica 1 0 1 0 2:2 2
4 Alianza Huanuco 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams