Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union Omaha vs Athletic Club Boise

USA USA

USL League One Werner Park
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Ndiaye M.
22' Event
Mayaka P.
Own Goal
28' Event
Luan Brito
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Union Omaha in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Union Omaha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Union Omaha
30%
Draws
34%
Athletic Club Boise
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Union Omaha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Union Omaha have won more games recently than Athletic Club Boise.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Union Omaha taking it.
  • Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Union Omaha Clean Sheet 16%
Athletic Club Boise Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Omaha Athletic Club Boise
Matches Played 29 20
Wins 16 10
Draws 2 3
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 USL League One
Athletic Club Boise vs Union Omaha
1:0
Mar 22, 2026 USL League One
Union Omaha vs Athletic Club Boise
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Omaha Compare

Top Goalscorer Gutierrez D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Athletic Club Boise Compare

Top Goalscorer Mayaka P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Omaha 36 / 100
Athletic Club Boise 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Omaha Athletic Club Boise

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Omaha found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Athletic Club Boise has conceded goals in 70% of their last 20 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Union Omaha stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Union Omaha VS Athletic Club Boise
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1One Knoxville15103228:1333
2Union Omaha16101525:1831
3Charlotte Independence1493234:1830
4Forward Madison1482426:1426
5AV Alta FC1767423:1925
6Athletic Club Boise1673623:2324
7Fort Wayne1566321:1424
8Spokane Velocity1572617:2123
9Chattanooga Red Wolves1371523:1522
10Portland Hearts of Pine1555524:2420
11Sarasota Paradise18531017:2818
12Corpus Christi FC1646620:2618
13FC Naples17521018:2717
14Westchester SC1542923:2314
15Greenville Triumph1342714:2114
16Richmond Kickers1533912:2812
17New York Cosmos14311017:3310