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Union Omaha vs Fort Wayne - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL League One Werner Park, Papillion, NE
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Union Omaha host Fort Wayne in the USL League One. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Union Omaha have averaged 1.87 scored and 1.33 conceded recently, against Fort Wayne's 1.61 scored and 1.5 conceded. Past meetings favor Union Omaha slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 1, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.88 - 1.56) back Union Omaha to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Union Omaha
30%
Draws
20%
Fort Wayne
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Union Omaha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Union Omaha lately — more wins on the board than Fort Wayne.
  • Model gives Union Omaha a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Union Omaha Clean Sheet 15%
Fort Wayne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Omaha Fort Wayne
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 18 9
Draws 4 8
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.87 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 USL League One
Fort Wayne vs Union Omaha
0:2
Jun 7, 2026 USL Cup
Union Omaha vs Fort Wayne
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Omaha 84 / 100
Fort Wayne 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Omaha Fort Wayne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Omaha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Union Omaha scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Union Omaha went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Fort Wayne's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Union Omaha VS Fort Wayne
2 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Omaha

(Home)
26 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3
Union Omaha
20 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 1
One Knoxville
16 Sept
Union Omaha
3 : 1
Spokane Velocity
13 Sept
Corpus Christi FC
1 : 2
Union Omaha
06 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 0
Charlotte Independence
Page 1 of 6

Fort Wayne

(Away)
03 Oct
Fort Wayne
0 : 0
Forward Madison
26 Sept
Charlotte Independence
1 : 1
Fort Wayne
19 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 2
FC Naples
16 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 3
One Knoxville
12 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3
Fort Wayne
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Omaha 29 19 4 6 53:31 61
2 Charlotte Independence 29 18 6 5 67:42 60
3 Forward Madison 29 15 7 7 50:27 52
4 Athletic Club Boise 29 14 7 8 45:39 49
5 One Knoxville 29 13 9 7 46:34 48
6 Spokane Velocity 27 14 5 8 41:36 47
7 Chattanooga Red Wolves 29 14 4 11 50:40 46
8 Fort Wayne 28 10 9 9 42:36 39
9 Corpus Christi FC 28 9 9 10 32:40 36
10 FC Naples 28 10 4 14 32:44 34
11 Westchester SC 29 9 6 14 48:46 33
12 Sarasota Paradise 28 9 6 13 39:43 33
13 AV Alta FC 29 8 8 13 35:42 32
14 Portland Hearts of Pine 29 7 10 12 43:53 31
15 New York Cosmos 28 7 4 17 36:56 25
16 Greenville Triumph 28 6 5 17 30:52 23
17 Richmond Kickers 28 6 5 17 30:58 23
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)