Sport Picks
Union Omaha vs One Knoxville
USA
USL League One Werner Park, Papillion, NE 
Match Events
8'
8'
Gutierrez D.
(Penalty)
24'
24'
Fernandez D.
25'
25'
Fuller I.
AI Match Summary
The USL League One game between Union Omaha and One Knoxville finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Union Omaha.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
20%
20%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Union Omaha
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
60%
/ High Confidence
- One Knoxville haven't matched Union Omaha's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Union Omaha's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Union Omaha Clean Sheet 20%
One Knoxville Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Union Omaha | One Knoxville |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 USL League One
Union Omaha vs One Knoxville
2:1
May 13, 2026 USL League One
One Knoxville vs Union Omaha
1:2
Sep 21, 2025 USL League One
Union Omaha vs One Knoxville
2:2
Aug 16, 2025 USL League One
One Knoxville vs Union Omaha
1:0
Sep 22, 2024 USL League One
Union Omaha vs One Knoxville
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Union Omaha Compare
Top Goalscorer Ors Navarro S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
One Knoxville Compare
Top Goalscorer Murphy Jr. J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Union Omaha 67 / 100
One Knoxville 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Union Omaha One Knoxville
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Union Omaha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Union Omaha's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
One Knoxville let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
Union Omaha has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Union Omaha VS One Knoxville
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Union Omaha
(Home) 26 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3 Union Omaha
20 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 1 One Knoxville
16 Sept
Union Omaha
3 : 1 Spokane Velocity
13 Sept
Corpus Christi FC
1 : 2 Union Omaha
06 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 0 Charlotte Independence
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 1 One Knoxville
16 Sept
Union Omaha
3 : 1 Spokane Velocity
06 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 0 Charlotte Independence
30 Aug
Union Omaha
1 : 1 New York Cosmos
22 Aug
Union Omaha
1 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
Page 1 of 3
One Knoxville
(Away) 03 Oct
Richmond Kickers
3 : 2 One Knoxville
27 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0 Westchester SC
20 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 1 One Knoxville
16 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 3 One Knoxville
11 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0 FC Naples
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Richmond Kickers
3 : 2 One Knoxville
20 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 1 One Knoxville
16 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 3 One Knoxville
06 Sept
AV Alta FC
1 : 2 One Knoxville
03 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1 One Knoxville
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 53:31 | 61 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 67:42 | 60 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 50:27 | 52 |
| 4 | Athletic Club Boise | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 45:39 | 49 |
| 5 | One Knoxville | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 46:34 | 48 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:36 | 47 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 29 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 50:40 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 42:36 | 39 |
| 9 | Corpus Christi FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 32:40 | 36 |
| 10 | FC Naples | 28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 32:44 | 34 |
| 11 | Westchester SC | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 48:46 | 33 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 39:43 | 33 |
| 13 | AV Alta FC | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35:42 | 32 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 43:53 | 31 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 36:56 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 30:52 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 30:58 | 23 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
