Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union Omaha vs Portland Hearts of Pine

USA USA

USL League One Werner Park
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Huck T.
Assist: Georgallides K.
18'
Drack J.
41'
Botello Faz P.

AI Match Summary

The USL League One game between Union Omaha and Portland Hearts of Pine finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Union Omaha
33%
Draws
40%
Portland Hearts of Pine
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Portland Hearts of Pine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Union Omaha come out ahead of Portland Hearts of Pine on wins alone.
  • Model gives Portland Hearts of Pine a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Union Omaha Clean Sheet 14%
Portland Hearts of Pine Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Omaha Portland Hearts of Pine
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 10
Draws 3 7
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.63 2
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 USL League One
Union Omaha vs Portland Hearts of Pine
2:2
Oct 1, 2025 USL League One
Union Omaha vs Portland Hearts of Pine
1:0
Jun 15, 2025 USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Union Omaha
3:1
May 11, 2025 USL League One
Union Omaha vs Portland Hearts of Pine
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Omaha Compare

Top Goalscorer Tekiela K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Owusu S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Portland Hearts of Pine Compare

Top Goalscorer Huck T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Washington T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Omaha 27 / 100
Portland Hearts of Pine 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Omaha Portland Hearts of Pine

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portland Hearts of Pine let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Union Omaha scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Union Omaha remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Union Omaha VS Portland Hearts of Pine
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Union Omaha16101525:1831
2Charlotte Independence1493234:1830
3One Knoxville1493226:1230
4AV Alta FC1667323:1825
5Athletic Club Boise1673623:2324
6Fort Wayne1466220:1224
7Forward Madison1372422:1423
8Spokane Velocity1572617:2123
9Portland Hearts of Pine1555524:2420
10Chattanooga Red Wolves1261522:1519
11Sarasota Paradise18531017:2818
12Corpus Christi FC1646620:2618
13FC Naples17521018:2717
14Westchester SC1542923:2314
15Greenville Triumph1342714:2114
16Richmond Kickers1433812:2412
17New York Cosmos14311017:3310