Sport Picks
Union Omaha vs Sarasota Paradise - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL League One Werner Park, Papillion, NE 
Match Events
28'
28'
Stretch C.
Assist: Rodriguez A.
29'
29'
Vargas M.
43'
43'
Terzaghi E.
AI Match Summary
The USL League One game between Union Omaha and Sarasota Paradise finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
20%
28%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Union Omaha
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Union Omaha come out ahead of Sarasota Paradise on wins alone.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Union Omaha Clean Sheet 12%
Sarasota Paradise Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Union Omaha | Sarasota Paradise |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 17 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.44 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 USL League One
Union Omaha vs Sarasota Paradise
1:1
Jun 13, 2026 USL League One
Sarasota Paradise vs Union Omaha
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Union Omaha Compare
Top Goalscorer Botello Faz P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Sarasota Paradise Compare
Top Goalscorer Stretch C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Union Omaha 30 / 100
Sarasota Paradise 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Union Omaha Sarasota Paradise
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Union Omaha scored in 86% of their last 28 games.
Union Omaha has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Sarasota Paradise has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Union Omaha VS Sarasota Paradise
2 Goals Scored 2.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Union Omaha
(Home) 26 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3 Union Omaha
20 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 1 One Knoxville
16 Sept
Union Omaha
3 : 1 Spokane Velocity
13 Sept
Corpus Christi FC
1 : 2 Union Omaha
06 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 0 Charlotte Independence
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 1 One Knoxville
16 Sept
Union Omaha
3 : 1 Spokane Velocity
06 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 0 Charlotte Independence
30 Aug
Union Omaha
1 : 1 New York Cosmos
22 Aug
Union Omaha
1 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
Page 1 of 3
Sarasota Paradise
(Away) 03 Oct
Sarasota Paradise
2 : 3 Charlotte Independence
26 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 4 Sarasota Paradise
19 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
6 : 0 Greenville Triumph
12 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
05 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
1 : 1 Spokane Velocity
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 4 Sarasota Paradise
12 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
02 Sept
New York Cosmos
1 : 2 Sarasota Paradise
22 Aug
Union Omaha
1 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
15 Aug
Charlotte Independence
3 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 53:31 | 61 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 67:42 | 60 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 50:27 | 52 |
| 4 | One Knoxville | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49:34 | 51 |
| 5 | Athletic Club Boise | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 45:39 | 49 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:36 | 47 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 50:43 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 45:37 | 42 |
| 9 | FC Naples | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34:44 | 37 |
| 10 | Corpus Christi FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33:43 | 36 |
| 11 | Westchester SC | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 48:46 | 33 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 39:43 | 33 |
| 13 | AV Alta FC | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35:42 | 32 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 43:53 | 31 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 36:56 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 30:52 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 30:60 | 23 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
