Sport Picks
Union Omaha vs Spokane Velocity
USA
USL League One Werner Park, Papillion, NE 
Match Events
6'
6'
Wootton L.
Assist: Billhardt A.
10'
10'
Gomez A.
Assist: Boudadi Y.
33'
33'
Sub
Alexandre M. In: Mensah M.
Out: Alexandre M.
AI Match Summary
Union Omaha in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Union Omaha.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Union Omaha
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Spokane Velocity haven't matched Union Omaha's recent run of results.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Union Omaha taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Union Omaha Clean Sheet 16%
Spokane Velocity Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Union Omaha | Spokane Velocity |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 19 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.84 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 16, 2026 USL League One
Union Omaha vs Spokane Velocity
3:1
Mar 15, 2026 USL League One
Spokane Velocity vs Union Omaha
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 USL League One
Union Omaha vs Spokane Velocity
2:2
Sep 18, 2025 USL League One
Union Omaha vs Spokane Velocity
2:2
Aug 3, 2025 USL League One
Spokane Velocity vs Union Omaha
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Union Omaha Compare
Top Goalscorer Wootton L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gomez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Spokane Velocity Compare
Top Goalscorer Spielman N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Union Omaha 48 / 100
Spokane Velocity 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Union Omaha Spokane Velocity
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Union Omaha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Union Omaha found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).
Spokane Velocity let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Union Omaha remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Union Omaha VS Spokane Velocity
2 Goals Scored 2.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Union Omaha
(Home) 16 Sept
Union Omaha
3 : 1 Spokane Velocity
13 Sept
Corpus Christi FC
1 : 2 Union Omaha
06 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 0 Charlotte Independence
30 Aug
Union Omaha
1 : 1 New York Cosmos
26 Aug
FC Naples
2 : 0 Union Omaha
Page 1 of 7
16 Sept
Union Omaha
3 : 1 Spokane Velocity
06 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 0 Charlotte Independence
30 Aug
Union Omaha
1 : 1 New York Cosmos
22 Aug
Union Omaha
1 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
16 Aug
Union Omaha
5 : 1 Richmond Kickers
Page 1 of 3
Spokane Velocity
(Away) 16 Sept
Union Omaha
3 : 1 Spokane Velocity
05 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
1 : 1 Spokane Velocity
29 Aug
Westchester SC
1 : 3 Spokane Velocity
23 Aug
Spokane Velocity
2 : 1 Greenville Triumph
16 Aug
Spokane Velocity
2 : 3 Corpus Christi FC
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Union Omaha
3 : 1 Spokane Velocity
05 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
1 : 1 Spokane Velocity
29 Aug
Westchester SC
1 : 3 Spokane Velocity
18 Jul
Richmond Kickers
0 : 2 Spokane Velocity
11 Jul
Oakland Roots
1 : 3 Spokane Velocity
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 48:29 | 55 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 61:38 | 53 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 47:26 | 48 |
| 4 | One Knoxville | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 43:29 | 47 |
| 5 | Athletic Club Boise | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 41:35 | 45 |
| 6 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 46:37 | 42 |
| 7 | Spokane Velocity | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 34:31 | 39 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 39:33 | 36 |
| 9 | Corpus Christi FC | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 30:36 | 33 |
| 10 | AV Alta FC | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 34:37 | 32 |
| 11 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 38:45 | 29 |
| 12 | FC Naples | 25 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 27:41 | 27 |
| 13 | Sarasota Paradise | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 27:39 | 27 |
| 14 | Westchester SC | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 44:44 | 26 |
| 15 | Greenville Triumph | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 29:42 | 23 |
| 16 | New York Cosmos | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 31:50 | 22 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 24:51 | 20 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
