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Stadium Background

Union Plaani vs Lahden Reipas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group A Urheilupuisto N, Heinola
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Hertsi L.
25'
Hahl J.
39'
Jarvinen L.

AI Match Summary

Union Plaani in this Kakkonen Group A matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Union Plaani.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Union Plaani
20%
Draws
33%
Lahden Reipas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Union Plaani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Lahden Reipas have won more games recently than Union Plaani.
  • Lahden Reipas are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Kakkonen Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Union Plaani Clean Sheet 20%
Lahden Reipas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Plaani Lahden Reipas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 3 3
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.45 2.14
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Kakkonen Group A
Lahden Reipas vs Union Plaani
4:0
Sep 19, 2026 Kakkonen Group A
Union Plaani vs Lahden Reipas
1:0
Aug 22, 2026 Kakkonen Group A
Union Plaani vs Lahden Reipas
1:0
Jun 13, 2026 Kakkonen Group A
Lahden Reipas vs Union Plaani
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Plaani Compare

Top Goalscorer Hertsi L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Lahden Reipas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Plaani 28 / 100
Lahden Reipas 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Plaani Lahden Reipas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lahden Reipas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lahden Reipas let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Union Plaani found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Union Plaani stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Union Plaani VS Lahden Reipas
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Plaani

(Home)
03 Oct
Lahden Reipas
4 : 0
Union Plaani
26 Sept
PuiU Helsinki
3 : 3
Union Plaani
19 Sept
Union Plaani
1 : 0
Lahden Reipas
12 Sept
MyPa
2 : 3
Union Plaani
06 Sept
Union Plaani
4 : 2
PuiU Helsinki
Page 1 of 6

Lahden Reipas

(Away)
03 Oct
Lahden Reipas
4 : 0
Union Plaani
26 Sept
Lahden Reipas
7 : 1
MyPa
19 Sept
Union Plaani
1 : 0
Lahden Reipas
12 Sept
Lahden Reipas
0 : 0
PuiU Helsinki
04 Sept
MyPa
5 : 1
Lahden Reipas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kiffen 18 12 3 3 41:24 39
2 PEPO 18 11 4 3 36:23 37
3 Atlantis 18 10 2 6 62:44 32
4 HIFK 18 7 6 5 39:33 27
5 HPS 18 7 4 7 39:41 25
6 Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) 18 5 8 5 33:31 23
7 Lahden Reipas 18 7 2 9 35:35 23
8 PuiU Helsinki 18 4 4 10 26:38 16
9 MyPa 18 4 3 11 20:39 15
10 Union Plaani 18 4 2 12 19:42 14
Promotion - Kakkonen Group A (Winners stage)
Relegation - Kakkonen Group A (Losers stage)