Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union Rochefortoise vs Virton

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
de Almeida M.
(Penalty)
33' Event
Mballa Amougou E.
37' Event
Mballa Amougou E.

AI Match Summary

The National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026 game between Union Rochefortoise and Virton finished 3-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Virton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Union Rochefortoise
35%
Draws
42%
Virton
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Virton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Virton come out ahead of Union Rochefortoise on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Union Rochefortoise Clean Sheet 11%
Virton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Rochefortoise Virton
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 9 23
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.57 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Union Rochefortoise vs Virton
2:2
May 3, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
Union Rochefortoise vs Virton
3:5
Mar 28, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
Virton vs Union Rochefortoise
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 National Division 1 - ACFF
Union Rochefortoise vs Virton
0:4
Sep 27, 2025 National Division 1 - ACFF
Virton vs Union Rochefortoise
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Rochefortoise Compare

Top Goalscorer Cornet M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader El Biache N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Virton Compare

Top Goalscorer Mballa Amougou E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tormin T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Rochefortoise 30 / 100
Virton 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Rochefortoise Virton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Union Rochefortoise scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Virton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 35 matches.

Solid form: Union Rochefortoise remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Union Rochefortoise VS Virton
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Rochefortoise

(Home)
01 Aug
Union Rochefortoise
2 : 2
Virton
04 Jul
RAAL La Louviere
0 : 3
Union Rochefortoise
27 Jun
Union Rochefortoise
3 : 3
Patro Eisden
10 May
Tubize-Braine
3 : 2
Union Rochefortoise
03 May
Union Rochefortoise
3 : 5
Virton
Page 1 of 6

Virton

(Away)
21 Aug
Anderlecht U23
0 : 1
Virton
15 Aug
Virton
3 : 0
Lierse SK
05 Aug
Virton
1 : 1
Strasbourg II
01 Aug
Union Rochefortoise
2 : 2
Virton
25 Jul
Progres Niedercorn
1 : 1
Virton
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virton 10 7 0 3 18:13 45
2 Renaissance Mons 10 6 3 1 19:8 43
3 Tubize-Braine 10 4 4 2 13:11 40
4 Meux 10 4 1 5 15:16 31
5 Habay La Neuve 10 3 1 6 9:15 28
6 Union Rochefortoise 10 1 1 8 12:23 20
Promotion - Challenger Pro League (Main)