Sport Picks
Union Sur Yaiza vs Las Palmas C
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 
Match Events
55'
55'
Delgado D.
AI Match Summary
Las Palmas C in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Las Palmas C.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Las Palmas C
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Las Palmas C have won more games recently than Union Sur Yaiza.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Union Sur Yaiza Clean Sheet 20%
Las Palmas C Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Union Sur Yaiza | Las Palmas C |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 17 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.79 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Las Palmas C vs Union Sur Yaiza
4:2
Jan 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Sur Yaiza vs Las Palmas C
0:1
Sep 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Las Palmas C vs Union Sur Yaiza
0:1
Mar 19, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Sur Yaiza vs Las Palmas C
1:0
Nov 6, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Las Palmas C vs Union Sur Yaiza
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Union Sur Yaiza Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Las Palmas C Compare
Top Goalscorer Delgado D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Union Sur Yaiza 32 / 100
Las Palmas C 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Union Sur Yaiza Las Palmas C
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Las Palmas C Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Las Palmas C let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Attacking prowess: Union Sur Yaiza scored in 45% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Union Sur Yaiza remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Union Sur Yaiza VS Las Palmas C
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Union Sur Yaiza
(Home) 03 Oct
Los Llanos
1 : 0 Union Sur Yaiza
26 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 0 UD San Fernando
19 Sept
Las Palmas C
4 : 2 Union Sur Yaiza
11 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
0 : 1 San Bartolome
10 May
Panaderia
0 : 0 Union Sur Yaiza
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 0 UD San Fernando
11 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
0 : 1 San Bartolome
03 May
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 1 Telde
22 Apr
Union Sur Yaiza
3 : 0 Arucas
19 Apr
Union Sur Yaiza
1 : 0 Mensajero
Page 1 of 3
Las Palmas C
(Away) 03 Oct
Las Palmas C
1 : 2 Lanzarote
25 Sept
Estrella
1 : 1 Las Palmas C
19 Sept
Las Palmas C
4 : 2 Union Sur Yaiza
12 Sept
UD Playas de Sotavento
0 : 2 Las Palmas C
10 May
Las Palmas C
0 : 1 San Miguel
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Estrella
1 : 1 Las Palmas C
12 Sept
UD Playas de Sotavento
0 : 2 Las Palmas C
03 May
Atletico Paso
1 : 0 Las Palmas C
18 Apr
Real Union Tenerife
0 : 1 Las Palmas C
31 Mar
Herbania
0 : 2 Las Palmas C
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Paso | 34 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 51:19 | 67 |
| 2 | UD San Fernando | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 49:23 | 66 |
| 3 | Mensajero | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 51:31 | 63 |
| 4 | Tamaraceite | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 56:36 | 63 |
| 5 | Panaderia | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 47:33 | 55 |
| 6 | Las Palmas C | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 58:42 | 54 |
| 7 | Tenerife C | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 49:46 | 52 |
| 8 | Villa Santa Brigida | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42:35 | 50 |
| 9 | Lanzarote | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45:36 | 48 |
| 10 | Real Union Tenerife | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34:32 | 45 |
| 11 | San Miguel | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 37:43 | 39 |
| 12 | CD Marino | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 44:40 | 39 |
| 13 | Union Sur Yaiza | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33:43 | 38 |
| 14 | San Bartolome | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 30:55 | 36 |
| 15 | Arucas | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 31:47 | 33 |
| 16 | Herbania | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39:58 | 32 |
| 17 | SD Tenisca | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:68 | 25 |
| 18 | Telde | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 30:71 | 25 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
