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Union Sur Yaiza vs San Bartolome - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Berriel A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 game between Union Sur Yaiza and San Bartolome finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Bartolome.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Union Sur Yaiza
30%
Draws
51%
San Bartolome
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: San Bartolome

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • San Bartolome carry the better recent record into this one.
  • San Bartolome are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors San Bartolome here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Union Sur Yaiza Clean Sheet 20%
San Bartolome Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Sur Yaiza San Bartolome
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 8
Draws 6 14
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 0.79 1
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Sur Yaiza vs San Bartolome
0:1
Apr 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Sur Yaiza vs San Bartolome
1:4
Nov 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Bartolome vs Union Sur Yaiza
1:0
Aug 15, 2024 Club Friendly
Union Sur Yaiza vs San Bartolome
1:1
Apr 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Bartolome vs Union Sur Yaiza
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Sur Yaiza 24 / 100
San Bartolome 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Sur Yaiza San Bartolome

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Bartolome Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Bartolome's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Union Sur Yaiza's goal record stands at 45% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Union Sur Yaiza went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Union Sur Yaiza VS San Bartolome
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Sur Yaiza

(Home)
03 Oct
Los Llanos
1 : 0
Union Sur Yaiza
26 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 0
UD San Fernando
19 Sept
Las Palmas C
4 : 2
Union Sur Yaiza
11 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
0 : 1
San Bartolome
10 May
Panaderia
0 : 0
Union Sur Yaiza
Page 1 of 6

San Bartolome

(Away)
03 Oct
San Bartolome
1 : 1
Villa Santa Brigida
27 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1
San Bartolome
19 Sept
San Bartolome
4 : 2
Estrella
11 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
0 : 1
San Bartolome
10 May
Tenerife C
0 : 1
San Bartolome
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD San Fernando 4 3 0 1 11:2 9
2 Real Union Tenerife 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
3 Mensajero 4 3 0 1 4:2 9
4 San Bartolome 4 2 2 0 7:4 8
5 CD Marino 4 2 1 1 12:6 7
6 Las Palmas C 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
7 San Miguel 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
8 Panaderia 4 2 1 1 10:8 7
9 Los Llanos 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
10 Lanzarote 4 1 3 0 5:4 6
11 Villa Santa Brigida 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
12 Tenerife C 4 1 1 2 6:8 4
13 Estrella 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
14 Anaza 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
15 Union Sur Yaiza 4 1 0 3 4:6 3
16 CD Laguna 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
17 Villaverde Norte 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
18 UD Playas de Sotavento 4 0 1 3 3:15 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 (Play Offs)