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Union Tetange vs Erpeldange

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Erpeldange advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Union Tetange
15%
Draws
42%
Erpeldange
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Union Tetange

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Erpeldange carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Union Tetange a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Erpeldange arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Erpeldange, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Union Tetange Clean Sheet 10%
Erpeldange Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Tetange Erpeldange
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 6 8
Draws 1 0
Losses 23 12
Goals Scored 1.4 1.95
Goals Conceded 2.6 2.85
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2017 Luxembourg Cup
Union Tetange vs Erpeldange
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Tetange 38 / 100
Erpeldange 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Tetange Erpeldange

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Tetange Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erpeldange has conceded goals in 95% of their last 20 outings.

Union Tetange found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Erpeldange has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Union Tetange VS Erpeldange
2.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Tetange

(Home)
10 Nov
Union Tetange
0 : 8
UNA Strassen
06 Oct
Union Tetange
2 : 0
Avenir Beggen
03 Oct
Union Tetange
4 : 5
Union Titus Petange
18 Oct
Union Tetange
3 : 4
FC Yellow Boys Weiler
22 Sept
Bettembourg
3 : 2
Union Tetange
Page 1 of 6

Erpeldange

(Away)
20 Sept
Erpeldange
3 : 4
Lorentzweiler
29 Oct
Erpeldange
1 : 8
Mondorf
01 Oct
Erpeldange
1 : 0
Blo Weiss Medernach
18 Oct
Erpeldange
1 : 3
Schifflange
28 Oct
Erpeldange
2 : 6
Luxembourg City
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Wiltz 1
Alisontia Steinsel 0
US Moutfort/Medingen 0
Ettelbruck 10
Victoria Rosport 1
AS Luxembourg/Porto 0
US Reisdorf 0
Rumelange 8
Kaerjeng 4
Echternach 1
Lorentzweiler 0
US Sandweiler 4
FC Mamer 2
Blo Weiss Itzig 1
Blo Weiss Medernach 1
FC Rodange 91 3
Esch 4
Cebra 0
US Berdorf Consdorf 0
Jeunesse Schieren 1
Jeunesse Canach 5
FC Kopstal 33 0
The Belval Belvaux 0
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 2
Luxembourg City 2
Steinfort 0
FC Ehlerange 1
Koeppchen 2
Jeunesse Useldange 5
Pratzerthal/Redange 3
Mertzig 0
Hostert 5
Racing Luxembourg 8
CS Sanem 0
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 1
Mertert/Wasserbillig 3
UNA Strassen 6
Oberkorn 1
Racing Troisvierges 1
Jeunesse Esch 16
Progres Niedercorn 3
FC Marisca Mersch 1
Kischpelt WIlwerwiltz 0
Dudelange 13
Fola 5
AS Wincrange 1
Vinesca Ehnen 0
Union Titus Petange 7
Grevenmacher 4
Bettembourg 2
Alliance Aischdall 0
Jeunesse Junglinster 5
Hesperange 6
Diekirch 1
Union Remich/Bous 1
Mondorf 2
Erpeldange 5
US Feulen 1
FC Orania Vianden 2
Union Tetange 4
FF Norden 2
AS Colmar-Berg 1
Lintgen 0
Differdange 3
1/16-finals
Wiltz 3
Ettelbruck 1
Victoria Rosport 0
Rumelange 3
Kaerjeng 1
US Sandweiler 0
FC Mamer 1
FC Rodange 91 2
Esch 2
Jeunesse Schieren 1
Jeunesse Canach 2
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 3
Luxembourg City 2
Koeppchen 0
Jeunesse Useldange 0
Hostert 2
Racing Luxembourg 4
Mertert/Wasserbillig 0
UNA Strassen 1
Jeunesse Esch 2
Progres Niedercorn 4
Dudelange 3
Fola 2
Union Titus Petange 3
Grevenmacher 2
Jeunesse Junglinster 1
Hesperange 0
Mondorf 1
Erpeldange 2
Union Tetange 1
FF Norden 0
Differdange 9
1/8-finals
Wiltz 2
Rumelange 0
Kaerjeng 1
FC Rodange 91 5
Esch 1
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 0
Luxembourg City 0
Hostert 5
Racing Luxembourg 3
Jeunesse Esch 1
Progres Niedercorn 0
Union Titus Petange 1
Grevenmacher 1
Mondorf 0
Erpeldange 0
Differdange 2
Quarter-finals
Wiltz 3
FC Rodange 91 2
Esch 1
Hostert 2
Racing Luxembourg 2
Union Titus Petange 1
Grevenmacher 0
Differdange 1
Semi-finals
Wiltz 1
Hostert 2
Racing Luxembourg 1
Differdange 0
Final
Hostert 0
Racing Luxembourg 1