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Union Viera vs Estrella

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Van Wesemael J.
79' Event
Medina M.

AI Match Summary

Estrella in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Estrella.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Union Viera
30%
Draws
47%
Estrella
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Estrella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Estrella lately — more wins on the board than Union Viera.
  • Estrella are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Union Viera Clean Sheet 13%
Estrella Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Viera Estrella
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 7
Draws 8 9
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 0.77 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Viera vs Estrella
0:2
Oct 25, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Estrella vs Union Viera
0:0
Feb 11, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Viera vs Estrella
1:1
Sep 23, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Estrella vs Union Viera
4:1
Apr 17, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Viera vs Estrella
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Viera Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Estrella Compare

Top Goalscorer Van Wesemael J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Medina M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Viera 14 / 100
Estrella 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Viera Estrella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estrella Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estrella let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Union Viera's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Union Viera has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Union Viera VS Estrella
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Viera

(Home)
10 May
Union Viera
4 : 6
San Bartolome
04 May
CD Santa Ursula
2 : 0
Union Viera
26 Apr
Union Viera
2 : 0
CD Buzanada
17 Apr
CD Marino
1 : 0
Union Viera
12 Apr
Union Viera
1 : 3
Mensajero
Page 1 of 6

Estrella

(Away)
11 May
Estrella
2 : 1
Herbania
04 May
San Bartolome
1 : 0
Estrella
26 Apr
Estrella
1 : 1
CD Santa Ursula
17 Apr
CD Buzanada
1 : 1
Estrella
12 Apr
Estrella
2 : 2
CD Marino
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Las Palmas B 34 22 10 2 66:17 76
2 UD San Fernando 34 21 10 3 58:20 73
3 Tamaraceite 34 18 9 7 48:29 63
4 Ibarra 34 18 5 11 49:40 59
5 Mensajero 34 16 8 10 50:37 56
6 Lanzarote 34 16 7 11 56:33 55
7 Panaderia 34 13 11 10 45:39 50
8 CD Marino 34 12 11 11 43:45 47
9 Arucas 34 12 9 13 38:36 45
10 San Bartolome 34 10 15 9 43:35 45
11 Villa Santa Brigida 34 10 11 13 34:42 41
12 Herbania 34 10 10 14 33:41 40
13 CD Santa Ursula 34 10 10 14 29:42 40
14 San Miguel 34 10 7 17 36:54 37
15 CD Buzanada 34 9 5 20 27:54 32
16 Estrella 34 7 9 18 30:57 30
17 Los Llanos 34 7 7 20 25:52 28
18 Union Viera 34 3 10 21 28:65 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 (Play Offs)