Sport Picks
Match Events
53'
53'
Sullivan M.
65'
65'
Lias Montero A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ibarra
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Ibarra have won more games recently than Union Viera.
- Win probability leans Ibarra's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Union Viera Clean Sheet 13%
Ibarra Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Union Viera | Ibarra |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 33 |
| Wins | 5 | 18 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 19 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.81 | 1.15 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Viera vs Ibarra
1:1
Oct 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Ibarra vs Union Viera
0:2
Mar 7, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Ibarra vs Union Viera
0:1
Oct 19, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Viera vs Ibarra
1:2
Mar 9, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Ibarra vs Union Viera
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Union Viera Compare
Top Goalscorer Sullivan M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Ibarra Compare
Top Goalscorer Lias Montero A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Union Viera 27 / 100
Ibarra 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Union Viera Ibarra
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ibarra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ibarra has conceded goals in 64% of their last 33 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Union Viera found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (32 games).
Union Viera went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Union Viera VS Ibarra
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Union Viera
(Home) 10 May
Union Viera
4 : 6 San Bartolome
04 May
CD Santa Ursula
2 : 0 Union Viera
26 Apr
Union Viera
2 : 0 CD Buzanada
17 Apr
CD Marino
1 : 0 Union Viera
12 Apr
Union Viera
1 : 3 Mensajero
Page 1 of 7
10 May
Union Viera
4 : 6 San Bartolome
26 Apr
Union Viera
2 : 0 CD Buzanada
12 Apr
Union Viera
1 : 3 Mensajero
28 Mar
Union Viera
0 : 3 Arucas
14 Mar
Union Viera
0 : 0 Villa Santa Brigida
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Ibarra
(Away) 24 May
Tamaraceite
3 : 0 Ibarra
17 May
Ibarra
1 : 0 Tamaraceite
11 May
Ibarra
3 : 1 Tamaraceite
04 May
Las Palmas B
2 : 0 Ibarra
26 Apr
Ibarra
1 : 0 Herbania
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24 May
Tamaraceite
3 : 0 Ibarra
04 May
Las Palmas B
2 : 0 Ibarra
17 Apr
San Bartolome
4 : 1 Ibarra
04 Apr
CD Buzanada
2 : 1 Ibarra
23 Mar
Mensajero
2 : 2 Ibarra
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Las Palmas B | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 66:17 | 76 |
| 2 | UD San Fernando | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 58:20 | 73 |
| 3 | Tamaraceite | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 48:29 | 63 |
| 4 | Ibarra | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 49:40 | 59 |
| 5 | Mensajero | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 50:37 | 56 |
| 6 | Lanzarote | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 56:33 | 55 |
| 7 | Panaderia | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 45:39 | 50 |
| 8 | CD Marino | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 43:45 | 47 |
| 9 | Arucas | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 38:36 | 45 |
| 10 | San Bartolome | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 43:35 | 45 |
| 11 | Villa Santa Brigida | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 34:42 | 41 |
| 12 | Herbania | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 33:41 | 40 |
| 13 | CD Santa Ursula | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 29:42 | 40 |
| 14 | San Miguel | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 15 | CD Buzanada | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 27:54 | 32 |
| 16 | Estrella | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 30:57 | 30 |
| 17 | Los Llanos | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 25:52 | 28 |
| 18 | Union Viera | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 28:65 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
