Sport Picks
Union Viera vs Mensajero - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 
Match Events
28'
28'
Ankudinov D.
33'
33'
Barca D.
34'
34'
De La Fe N.
AI Match Summary
Mensajero in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mensajero.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mensajero
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Mensajero lately — more wins on the board than Union Viera.
- Model gives Mensajero a 64% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Union Viera Clean Sheet 18%
Mensajero Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Union Viera | Mensajero |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 3 | 18 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 19 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.87 | 0.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Viera vs Mensajero
1:3
Dec 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Mensajero vs Union Viera
4:1
Apr 5, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Mensajero vs Union Viera
0:0
Nov 16, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Viera vs Mensajero
2:1
Jan 12, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Mensajero vs Union Viera
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Union Viera Compare
Top Goalscorer De La Fe N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Mensajero Compare
Top Goalscorer Ankudinov D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Barca D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Union Viera 10 / 100
Mensajero 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Union Viera Mensajero
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mensajero Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Union Viera scored in 50% of their last 30 games.
Mensajero has conceded goals in 55% of their last 31 outings.
Solid form: Union Viera remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Mensajero
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Union Viera
(Home) 10 May
Union Viera
4 : 6 San Bartolome
04 May
CD Santa Ursula
2 : 0 Union Viera
26 Apr
Union Viera
2 : 0 CD Buzanada
17 Apr
CD Marino
1 : 0 Union Viera
12 Apr
Union Viera
1 : 3 Mensajero
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Union Viera
4 : 6 San Bartolome
26 Apr
Union Viera
2 : 0 CD Buzanada
12 Apr
Union Viera
1 : 3 Mensajero
28 Mar
Union Viera
0 : 3 Arucas
14 Mar
Union Viera
0 : 0 Villa Santa Brigida
Page 1 of 3
Mensajero
(Away) 03 Oct
Villaverde Norte
1 : 2 Mensajero
27 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 0 San Miguel
19 Sept
Anaza
1 : 0 Mensajero
13 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 0 Tenerife C
09 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 2 Murcia
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Villaverde Norte
1 : 2 Mensajero
19 Sept
Anaza
1 : 0 Mensajero
16 May
Tamaraceite
2 : 0 Mensajero
03 May
Arucas
0 : 1 Mensajero
19 Apr
Union Sur Yaiza
1 : 0 Mensajero
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Las Palmas B | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 66:17 | 76 |
| 2 | UD San Fernando | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 58:20 | 73 |
| 3 | Tamaraceite | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 48:29 | 63 |
| 4 | Ibarra | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 49:40 | 59 |
| 5 | Mensajero | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 50:37 | 56 |
| 6 | Lanzarote | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 56:33 | 55 |
| 7 | Panaderia | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 45:39 | 50 |
| 8 | CD Marino | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 43:45 | 47 |
| 9 | Arucas | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 38:36 | 45 |
| 10 | San Bartolome | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 43:35 | 45 |
| 11 | Villa Santa Brigida | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 34:42 | 41 |
| 12 | Herbania | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 33:41 | 40 |
| 13 | CD Santa Ursula | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 29:42 | 40 |
| 14 | San Miguel | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 15 | CD Buzanada | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 27:54 | 32 |
| 16 | Estrella | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 30:57 | 30 |
| 17 | Los Llanos | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 25:52 | 28 |
| 18 | Union Viera | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 28:65 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
