Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Unipomezia vs Ancona

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie D 2025/2026
Wed, Dec 3, 2025
1 - 2
01:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Cericola M.
85' Event
Della Pietra V.
1' Event
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Ancona in this Coppa Italia Serie D 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Unipomezia
30%
Draws
41%
Ancona
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ancona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ancona lately — more wins on the board than Unipomezia.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Ancona arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ancona, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Ancona have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Unipomezia Clean Sheet 68%
Ancona Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Unipomezia Ancona
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 9 20
Draws 9 7
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.34 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Unipomezia vs Ancona
1:1
Dec 3, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
Unipomezia vs Ancona
1:2
Oct 19, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Ancona vs Unipomezia
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Unipomezia Compare

Top Goalscorer Della Pietra V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Ancona Compare

Top Goalscorer Cericola M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Unipomezia 41 / 100
Ancona 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Unipomezia Ancona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Unipomezia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Unipomezia found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Solid form: Unipomezia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Ancona has conceded goals in 56% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Unipomezia VS Ancona
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Unipomezia

(Home)
16 Sept
Citta di Anagni
0 : 2
Unipomezia
13 Sept
Unipomezia
1 : 1
US Venafro
06 Sept
Paganese
2 : 1
Unipomezia
03 May
Unipomezia
3 : 3
Vigor Senigallia
26 Apr
AS Sora
2 : 1
Unipomezia
Page 1 of 6

Ancona

(Away)
16 Sept
Maceratese
0 : 1
Ancona
12 Sept
Ancona
0 : 1
Montecchio Gallo
06 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2
Ancona
10 May
Ancona
1 : 3
Notaresco Calcio
03 May
Ancona
1 : 1
Notaresco Calcio
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Asti Calcio 2
Chisola 0
Ligorna 1
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 3
Sestri Levante 0
Tau 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
SCD Progresso 1
Pavia 2
Sant'Angelo 0
Prato 2
Montevarchi 1
Correggese 2
Imolese 1
Sondrio 1
Breno 0
Folgore Caratese 2
Club Milano 3
AC Milan U23 2
Varesina 3
Brusaporto 0
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Chievo 0
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Vigasio 2
Cjarlins Muzane 1
Brian Lignano 2
Luparense FC 0
Mestre 1
Fossombrone 0
Ancona 1
Foligno 0
Atletico Ascoli 2
Orvietana 2
Siena 0
Follonica Gavorrano 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Termoli 0
Albalonga 2
Aquila Calcio 1
Grosseto 0
Unipomezia 1
Trastevere Calcio 2
Budoni Calcio 0
Martina Calcio 3
Sarnese 1
Ferrandina 2
Francavilla 3
A.C. Savoia 2
Paganese 1
Citta di Fasano 3
Gravina 0
Nocerina 4
Gelbison 2
Sambiase 0
Reggina 1
Castrumfavara 3
Igea Virtus 1
Enna 0
Sancataldese 2
1/16-finals
Asti Calcio 3
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 0
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
Pavia 1
Prato 1
Correggese 4
Sondrio 0
Club Milano 3
Varesina 4
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Brian Lignano 0
Mestre 1
Ancona 1
Atletico Ascoli 0
Orvietana 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Albalonga 1
Unipomezia 3
Trastevere Calcio 1
Martina Calcio 1
Francavilla 2
A.C. Savoia 3
Citta di Fasano 4
Nocerina 3
Reggina 2
Castrumfavara 3
Sancataldese 2
1/8-finals
Asti Calcio 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 0
Correggese 1
Club Milano 1
Varesina 0
Este 1
Mestre 2
Ancona 2
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 0
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 3
Citta di Fasano 2
Nocerina 2
Castrumfavara 0
Quarter-finals
Pistoiese 2
Correggese 0
Club Milano 1
Mestre 0
Ancona 2
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 1
Nocerina 0
Semi-finals
Pistoiese 3
Club Milano 1
Ancona 2
Francavilla 1
Final
Pistoiese 3
Ancona 0