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Unirea Dej vs Targu Mures II

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 6 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Unirea Dej play Targu Mures II in the Liga 3 - Seria 6 2011/2012. It looks like a close match. Recently, Unirea Dej averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. Targu Mures II averaged 1.17 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. In past meetings, Unirea Dej won 3, Targu Mures II won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 28, 2017 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Unirea Dej and 1.44 for Targu Mures II. This points to a Unirea Dej double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Unirea Dej
15%
Draws
41%
Targu Mures II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Unirea Dej

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Unirea Dej picked up more points recently compared to Targu Mures II.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Unirea Dej Clean Sheet 16%
Targu Mures II Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Unirea Dej Targu Mures II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 5 3
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 1.03 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.4

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2017 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Targu Mures II vs Unirea Dej
3:1
Oct 29, 2016 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Unirea Dej vs Targu Mures II
1:0
Apr 13, 2012 Liga 3 - Seria 6
Unirea Dej vs Targu Mures II
5:2
Sep 23, 2011 Liga 3 - Seria 6
Targu Mures II vs Unirea Dej
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Unirea Dej 43 / 100
Targu Mures II 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Unirea Dej Targu Mures II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Unirea Dej or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Unirea Dej attacking → ← attacking Targu Mures II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Unirea Dej scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Targu Mures II let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Unirea Dej went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Targu Mures II lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 30
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Corona Brasov30235259:874
2Olimpia Satu Mare30232557:2271
3Tarlungeni30185755:2959
4Zalau (inactive)301641044:3952
5Avantul Reghin301551038:3450
6Ariesul 1907301541143:3349
7FC Municipal Turda301531247:4048
8Universitatea Cluj II301361152:3845
9Unirea Ungheni301321548:5441
10CFR Cluj II301161348:4339
11Sanatatea Cluj301071344:4637
12Unirea Dej30961534:5233
13Vointa Livezile30871535:4731
14Zlatna30651925:6123
15Targu Mures II30442224:6916
16Gloria Progresul Bistrita30432333:7115