Sport Picks
United Arab Emirates U23 vs Lebanon U23
Asia
WAFF Championship U23 2021 
Match Events
32'
32'
Al-Kaabi S.
34'
34'
Abdulrahman A.
78'
78'
Abdulla A.
AI Match Summary
The WAFF Championship U23 2021 game between United Arab Emirates U23 and Lebanon U23 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward United Arab Emirates U23.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- United Arab Emirates U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans United Arab Emirates U23's way, sitting at 36%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and United Arab Emirates U23 have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
United Arab Emirates U23 Clean Sheet 15%
Lebanon U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | United Arab Emirates U23 | Lebanon U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.79 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 25, 2025 WAFF Championship U23
Lebanon U23 vs United Arab Emirates U23
0:3
Oct 4, 2021 WAFF Championship U23
United Arab Emirates U23 vs Lebanon U23
3:0
Mar 22, 2019 AFC Asian Cup U23
United Arab Emirates U23 vs Lebanon U23
6:1
Jul 17, 2017 AFC Asian Cup U23
Lebanon U23 vs United Arab Emirates U23
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
United Arab Emirates U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Al-Kaabi S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Abdulrahman A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9
Lebanon U23 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.84
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
United Arab Emirates U23 35 / 100
Lebanon U23 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
United Arab Emirates U23 Lebanon U23
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lebanon U23 has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.
United Arab Emirates U23 scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Solid form: United Arab Emirates U23 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
United Arab Emirates U23 VS Lebanon U23
1.25 Goals Scored 1.67
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.33
88% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 67%
Recent Form & Match History
United Arab Emirates U23
(Home) 23 Sept
China U23
0 : 0 United Arab Emirates U23
20 Sept
North Korea U23
0 : 0 United Arab Emirates U23
16 Sept
United Arab Emirates U23
1 : 3 Iran U23
09 Jun
Thailand U23
2 : 5 United Arab Emirates U23
06 Jun
Kyrgyzstan U23
1 : 1 United Arab Emirates U23
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16 Sept
United Arab Emirates U23
1 : 3 Iran U23
31 Mar
United Arab Emirates U23
3 : 1 Oman U23
13 Jan
United Arab Emirates U23
1 : 1 Syria U23
10 Jan
United Arab Emirates U23
0 : 3 Japan U23
04 Dec
United Arab Emirates U23
2 : 0 Oman U23
Page 1 of 3
Lebanon U23
(Away) 13 Jan
Iran U23
0 : 1 Lebanon U23
10 Jan
Lebanon U23
2 : 4 South Korea U23
07 Jan
Uzbekistan U23
3 : 2 Lebanon U23
09 Sept
Lebanon U23
3 : 0 Mongolia U23
06 Sept
Lebanon U23
2 : 2 Thailand U23
Page 1 of 6
13 Jan
Iran U23
0 : 1 Lebanon U23
07 Jan
Uzbekistan U23
3 : 2 Lebanon U23
03 Sept
Malaysia U23
0 : 1 Lebanon U23
22 Mar
Kuwait U23
1 : 0 Lebanon U23
19 Mar
Syria U23
3 : 2 Lebanon U23
Page 1 of 2
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jordan U23 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 2 | Yemen U23 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Oman U23 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Kuwait U23 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
Promotion - WAFF Championship U23 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iraq U23 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Palestine U23 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 3 | United Arab Emirates U23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Lebanon U23 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:9 | 1 |
Promotion - WAFF Championship U23 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saudi Arabia U23 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Syria U23 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 3 | Bahrain U23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | 0 |
Promotion - WAFF Championship U23 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
