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United Arab Emirates U23 vs Lebanon U23

Asia Asia

WAFF Championship U23 2021
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Match Events

32' Event
Al-Kaabi S.
34' Event
Abdulrahman A.
78' Event
Abdulla A.

AI Match Summary

The WAFF Championship U23 2021 game between United Arab Emirates U23 and Lebanon U23 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward United Arab Emirates U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
United Arab Emirates U23
33%
Draws
27%
Lebanon U23
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: United Arab Emirates U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • United Arab Emirates U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans United Arab Emirates U23's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and United Arab Emirates U23 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
United Arab Emirates U23 Clean Sheet 16%
Lebanon U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric United Arab Emirates U23 Lebanon U23
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.75 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2025 WAFF Championship U23
Lebanon U23 vs United Arab Emirates U23
0:3
Oct 4, 2021 WAFF Championship U23
United Arab Emirates U23 vs Lebanon U23
3:0
Mar 22, 2019 AFC Asian Cup U23
United Arab Emirates U23 vs Lebanon U23
6:1
Jul 17, 2017 AFC Asian Cup U23
Lebanon U23 vs United Arab Emirates U23
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

United Arab Emirates U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Al-Kaabi S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abdulrahman A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Lebanon U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.93

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

United Arab Emirates U23 39 / 100
Lebanon U23 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
United Arab Emirates U23 Lebanon U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: United Arab Emirates U23 scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Lebanon U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Solid form: United Arab Emirates U23 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

United Arab Emirates U23 VS Lebanon U23
1.75 Goals Scored 1.67
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.33
88% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 67%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jordan U2332014:36
2Yemen U2331113:34
3Oman U2331112:24
4Kuwait U2330213:42
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Iraq U2332105:27
2Palestine U2332015:36
3United Arab Emirates U2331023:33
4Lebanon U2330124:91
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Saudi Arabia U2322005:06
2Syria U2321014:33
3Bahrain U2320021:70