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United Arab Emirates U23 vs Syria U23

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U23 Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

United Arab Emirates U23 play Syria U23 in the AFC Asian Cup U23. It looks like a close match. Recently, United Arab Emirates U23 averaged 2.17 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Syria U23 averaged 1.78 goals scored and 1.22 conceded. In past meetings, United Arab Emirates U23 won 1, Syria U23 won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 13, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for United Arab Emirates U23 and 1.04 for Syria U23. This points to a Syria U23 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
United Arab Emirates U23
21%
Draws
40%
Syria U23
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Syria U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • United Arab Emirates U23 picked up more points recently compared to Syria U23.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.04 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
United Arab Emirates U23 Clean Sheet 22%
Syria U23 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric United Arab Emirates U23 Syria U23
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 13 14
Draws 6 3
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 2.17 1.78
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 13, 2026 AFC Asian Cup U23
United Arab Emirates U23 vs Syria U23
1:1
Nov 13, 2019 Friendly International
United Arab Emirates U23 vs Syria U23
2:1
Aug 14, 2018 Asian Games
United Arab Emirates U23 vs Syria U23
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

United Arab Emirates U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Memari A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Syria U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Omar M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

United Arab Emirates U23 40 / 100
Syria U23 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
United Arab Emirates U23 Syria U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Syria U23 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

United Arab Emirates U23 attacking → ← attacking Syria U23

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

United Arab Emirates U23 scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Syria U23 let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

United Arab Emirates U23 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Syria U23 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 45
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.83
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vietnam U2333005:19
2Jordan U2332014:46
3Saudi Arabia U2331023:43
4Kyrgyzstan U2330031:40
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Japan U23330010:09
2United Arab Emirates U2331113:44
3Syria U2331112:64
4Qatar U2330030:50
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Uzbekistan U2332105:27
2South Korea U2331114:44
3Lebanon U2331025:73
4Iran U2330210:12
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Australia U2332014:36
2China U2331201:05
3Iraq U2330212:32
4Thailand U2330212:32