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United Arab Emirates U23 vs Tajikistan U23

World World

Friendly International 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
29'
40' Event

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between United Arab Emirates U23 and Tajikistan U23 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward United Arab Emirates U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
United Arab Emirates U23
6%
Draws
4%
Tajikistan U23
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: United Arab Emirates U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and United Arab Emirates U23 come out ahead of Tajikistan U23 on wins alone.
  • Model gives United Arab Emirates U23 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • United Arab Emirates U23 have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
United Arab Emirates U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Tajikistan U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric United Arab Emirates U23 Tajikistan U23
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 17 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 2 0.5
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2024 Friendly International
United Arab Emirates U23 vs Tajikistan U23
3:0
Nov 15, 2024 Friendly International
United Arab Emirates U23 vs Tajikistan U23
3:0
Jun 6, 2022 AFC Asian Cup U23
Tajikistan U23 vs United Arab Emirates U23
0:2
Mar 29, 2015 AFC Asian Cup U23
Tajikistan U23 vs United Arab Emirates U23
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

United Arab Emirates U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Hammadi E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Tajikistan U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

United Arab Emirates U23 85 / 100
Tajikistan U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
United Arab Emirates U23 Tajikistan U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

United Arab Emirates U23's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Tajikistan U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

United Arab Emirates U23 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

United Arab Emirates U23 VS Tajikistan U23
2 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%