Sport Picks
United Arab Emirates vs Qatar
Asia
Arabian Gulf Cup 2024 Jaber Al Ahmad International Stadium, Kuwait 
Match Events
17'
17'
Afif A.
(Penalty)
36'
36'
Meshaal M.
45'
45'
Al Ghassani Y.
Assist: Faiz I.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: United Arab Emirates
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- United Arab Emirates carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans United Arab Emirates's way, sitting at 90%.
- United Arab Emirates have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor United Arab Emirates, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
United Arab Emirates Clean Sheet 68%
Qatar Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | United Arab Emirates | Qatar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 26 |
| Wins | 12 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 14, 2025 World Championship
Qatar vs United Arab Emirates
2:1
Dec 21, 2024 Arabian Gulf Cup
United Arab Emirates vs Qatar
1:1
Nov 19, 2024 World Championship
United Arab Emirates vs Qatar
5:0
Sep 5, 2024 World Championship
Qatar vs United Arab Emirates
1:3
Jan 13, 2023 Arabian Gulf Cup
Qatar vs United Arab Emirates
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
United Arab Emirates Compare
Top Goalscorer Al Ghassani Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Qatar Compare
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
United Arab Emirates 95 / 100
Qatar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
United Arab Emirates Qatar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick United Arab Emirates Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
United Arab Emirates found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).
Qatar has conceded goals in 81% of their last 26 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Solid form: United Arab Emirates remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
United Arab Emirates VS Qatar
1.13 Goals Scored 0.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
United Arab Emirates
(Home) 24 Sept
United Arab Emirates
4 : 0 Yemen
15 Dec
Morocco
3 : 0 United Arab Emirates
12 Dec
Algeria
1 : 2 United Arab Emirates
09 Dec
United Arab Emirates
3 : 1 Kuwait
06 Dec
United Arab Emirates
1 : 1 Egypt
Page 1 of 6
24 Sept
United Arab Emirates
4 : 0 Yemen
09 Dec
United Arab Emirates
3 : 1 Kuwait
06 Dec
United Arab Emirates
1 : 1 Egypt
13 Nov
United Arab Emirates
1 : 1 Iraq
11 Oct
United Arab Emirates
2 : 1 Oman
Page 1 of 4
Qatar
(Away) 24 Sept
Qatar
2 : 0 Bahrain
24 Jun
Bosnia & Herzegovina
3 : 1 Qatar
18 Jun
Canada
6 : 0 Qatar
13 Jun
Qatar
1 : 1 Switzerland
06 Jun
Qatar
0 : 0 El Salvador
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24 Jun
Bosnia & Herzegovina
3 : 1 Qatar
18 Jun
Canada
6 : 0 Qatar
28 May
Ireland
1 : 0 Qatar
04 Dec
Syria
1 : 1 Qatar
08 Oct
Oman
0 : 0 Qatar
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oman | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 2 | Kuwait | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 3 | United Arab Emirates | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Qatar | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
Promotion - Arabian Gulf Cup 2024 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bahrain | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:6 | 6 |
| 3 | Iraq | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Yemen | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
Promotion - Arabian Gulf Cup 2024 (Play Offs)
