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United PDX vs Project 51O

USA USA

USL League Two 2024
Sun, Jul 21, 2024
4 - 5
09:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Finn J.
25' Event
Elmasnaouy A.
61' Event
Harris A.

AI Match Summary

Project 51O in this USL League Two 2024 tie, finishing 4-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
United PDX
15%
Draws
42%
Project 51O
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: United PDX

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Project 51O have won more games recently than United PDX.
  • Win probability leans Project 51O's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Project 51O arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Project 51O, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
United PDX Clean Sheet 18%
Project 51O Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric United PDX Project 51O
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 15 16
Draws 3 7
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.93 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2024 USL League Two
United PDX vs Project 51O
4:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

United PDX Compare

Top Goalscorer Harris A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Finn J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Project 51O Compare

Top Goalscorer Elmasnaouy A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Duncan A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

United PDX 23 / 100
Project 51O 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
United PDX Project 51O

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Project 51O Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: United PDX scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Project 51O's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 9.00 goals when they meet.

United PDX has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Project 51O
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

United PDX

(Home)
21 Jul
United PDX
4 : 5
Project 51O
19 Jul
Almaden
0 : 1
United PDX
14 Jul
Lane United FC
1 : 2
United PDX
13 Jul
Ballard
1 : 0
United PDX
10 Jul
United PDX
1 : 0
Tacoma Stars
Page 1 of 6

Project 51O

(Away)
17 Jul
Ventura
1 : 0
Project 51O
11 Jul
San Francisco City
1 : 0
Project 51O
09 Jul
Project 51O
5 : 1
Marin
05 Jul
Project 51O
6 : 1
Davis Legacy
01 Jul
Project 51O
4 : 2
San Francisco City
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Peoria IL 2
Thunder Bay Chill 0
Menace 2
Bavarian United SC 0
Flint City 1
Cleveland Force 0
Fort Wayne 1
Midwest United 0
Ballard 1
Project 51O 2
Almaden 0
United PDX 1
Tucson 3
Flatirons 2
Ventura 2
Albion Colorado 1
Lionsbridge 2
Western Pioneers 1
Salem City 3
Virginia Beach United 2
Ocean City 0
Seacoast United Phantoms 1
Long Island 1
Vermont Green 3
Asheville City 4
Nona 0
Brave SC 2
Sarasota Paradise 1
Little Rock Rangers 5
AHFC Royals 2
Corpus Christi FC 5
Tennessee 3
1/8-finals
Peoria IL 6
Menace 5
Flint City 2
Fort Wayne 1
Project 51O 5
United PDX 4
Tucson 1
Ventura 0
Lionsbridge 2
Salem City 0
Seacoast United Phantoms 3
Vermont Green 0
Asheville City 2
Brave SC 1
Little Rock Rangers 1
Corpus Christi FC 2
Quarter-finals
Peoria IL 1
Flint City 0
Project 51O 1
Tucson 2
Lionsbridge 3
Seacoast United Phantoms 6
Asheville City 1
Corpus Christi FC 0
Semi-finals
Peoria IL 5
Tucson 1
Seacoast United Phantoms 1
Asheville City 0
Final
Peoria IL 2
Seacoast United Phantoms 3