Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group D 2024/2025

United Riccione

1 - 3

Zenith Prato

Our Tip

Match Events

16'

Toci M.

45'

Greco N.

75'

Falteri M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Zenith Prato in this Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zenith Prato.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

United Riccione

Draws

90%

Zenith Prato

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Zenith Prato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Zenith Prato have won more games recently than United Riccione.
90% — that's where the model lands on Zenith Prato taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%

United Riccione Clean Sheet 10%

Zenith Prato Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	United Riccione	Zenith Prato
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	4	10
Draws	7	7
Losses	19	13
Goals Scored	0.13	1.38
Goals Conceded	2.88	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	0.13	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.88	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 5, 2025 Serie D - Group D

United Riccione vs Zenith Prato

Possession: 60% - 47% Cards: 1 - 0

1:3

Sep 8, 2024 Serie D - Group D

Zenith Prato vs United Riccione

Possession: 40% - 60% Cards: 0 - 2

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

United Riccione Compare

Top Goalscorer Greco N.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.1

Avg xA / game 0.07

Zenith Prato Compare

Top Goalscorer Falteri M.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Toci M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

United Riccione 10 / 100

Zenith Prato 85 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

United Riccione Zenith Prato

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZPR Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Zenith Prato conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

United Riccione scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Difficult form: Zenith Prato registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

United Riccione VS Zenith Prato

0.13 Goals Scored 1.38

2.88 Goals Conceded 0.75

88% Over 1.5 63%

75% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Forli FC	34	27	3	4	75:24	84
2	Ravenna	34	23	5	6	65:27	74
3	Lentigione	34	18	11	5	48:27	65
4	Tau	34	18	9	7	54:27	63
5	Pistoiese	34	18	7	9	45:23	61
6	Imolese	34	14	11	9	52:44	53
7	Cittadella Vis Modena	34	13	8	13	48:40	47
8	Piacenza	34	10	12	12	38:40	42
9	Prato	34	11	9	14	34:38	42
10	Tuttocuoio	34	10	12	12	32:43	42
11	SCD Progresso	34	10	11	13	24:32	41
12	San Marino Calcio	34	10	8	16	38:51	38
13	Sasso Marconi	34	9	10	15	39:51	37
14	Corticella	34	10	6	18	37:65	36
15	Sammaurese	34	7	10	17	27:37	31
16	Fiorenzuola	34	7	5	22	21:46	26
17	Zenith Prato	34	10	8	16	36:51	23
18	United Riccione	34	5	7	22	22:69	22