Sport Picks
United States Virgin Islands vs Aruba
North & Central America
CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 game between United States Virgin Islands and Aruba finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aruba.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Aruba come out ahead of United States Virgin Islands on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Aruba's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | United States Virgin Islands | Aruba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 22 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.86 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.86 | 3.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
United States Virgin Islands Compare
Aruba Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aruba has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: United States Virgin Islands scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.
Recent resilience: United States Virgin Islands stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Martin | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Bonaire | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 6 |
| 3 | Anguilla | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:19 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aruba | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Cayman Islands | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:10 | 4 |
| 3 | United States Virgin Islands | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:11 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dominica | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 10 |
| 2 | British Virgin Islands | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 5 |
| 3 | Turks and Caicos Islands | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:10 | 1 |