Sport Picks

North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League

United States Virgin Islands

3 - 3

Bahamas

Our Tip

Match Events

St. Fleur L.

(Penalty)

27'

Henry N.

Assist: Joseph R.

37'

Wood J.

Assist: Carey Q.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Nations League game between United States Virgin Islands and Bahamas finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

United States Virgin Islands

Draws

Bahamas

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: United States Virgin Islands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Bahamas haven't matched United States Virgin Islands's recent run of results.
Win probability leans United States Virgin Islands's way, sitting at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 69%

Over 4.5 Goals 31%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%

United States Virgin Islands Clean Sheet 10%

Bahamas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	United States Virgin Islands	Bahamas
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	4	3
Draws	4	4
Losses	22	22
Goals Scored	1	1.38
Goals Conceded	2.63	4.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.63	4.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League

Bahamas vs United States Virgin Islands

Possession: 57% - 49% Cards: 0 - 2

3:1

Sep 4, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League

United States Virgin Islands vs Bahamas

Possession: 47% - 59% Cards: 4 - 3

3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

United States Virgin Islands Compare

Top Goalscorer Henry N.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Joseph R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Bahamas Compare

Top Goalscorer Wood J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Adderley B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

United States Virgin Islands 83 / 100

Bahamas 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

United States Virgin Islands Bahamas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bahamas has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Bahamas registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: United States Virgin Islands scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

United States Virgin Islands VS Bahamas

1 Goals Scored 1.38

2.63 Goals Conceded 4.38

88% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 88%

50% Over 3.5 88%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Barbados	4	4	0	0	17:4	12
2	Bahamas	4	1	1	2	10:13	4
3	United States Virgin Islands	4	0	1	3	4:14	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Belize	4	4	0	9:0	12
2	Anguilla	4	1	3	3:4	3
3	Turks and Caicos Islands	4	1	3	2:10	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Saint Kitts and Nevis	4	3	1	0	10:3	10
2	Cayman Islands	4	2	1	1	4:5	7
3	British Virgin Islands	4	0	0	4	1:7	0