Sport Picks

Stadium Background

United States Virgin Islands vs Sint Maarten

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Lake G.
76' Event
Kendall K.
86' Event
Cox J.

AI Match Summary

Sint Maarten in this CONCACAF Nations League 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sint Maarten.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
United States Virgin Islands
15%
Draws
8%
Sint Maarten
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: United States Virgin Islands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sint Maarten lately — more wins on the board than United States Virgin Islands.
  • 77% — that's where the model lands on United States Virgin Islands taking it.
  • Regular CONCACAF Nations League 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
United States Virgin Islands Clean Sheet 14%
Sint Maarten Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric United States Virgin Islands Sint Maarten
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 1.07 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.4 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
United States Virgin Islands vs Sint Maarten
1:2
Jun 3, 2022 CONCACAF Nations League
Sint Maarten vs United States Virgin Islands
1:1
Mar 27, 2016 Caribbean Cup
Sint Maarten vs United States Virgin Islands
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

United States Virgin Islands Compare

Top Goalscorer Kendall K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sint Maarten Compare

Top Goalscorer Lake G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cox J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

United States Virgin Islands 84 / 100
Sint Maarten 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
United States Virgin Islands Sint Maarten

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick United States Virgin Islands Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sint Maarten's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Solid form: United States Virgin Islands remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Sint Maarten registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

United States Virgin Islands VS Sint Maarten
1.75 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

United States Virgin Islands

(Home)
04 Oct
Bahamas
2 : 3
United States Virgin Islands
01 Oct
United States Virgin Islands
0 : 5
Saint Martin
29 Sept
United States Virgin Islands
3 : 1
Bahamas
26 Sept
Saint Martin
0 : 2
United States Virgin Islands
29 Mar
Puerto Rico
2 : 0
United States Virgin Islands
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Sint Maarten

(Away)
06 Oct
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
4 : 0
Sint Maarten
03 Oct
Sint Maarten
2 : 4
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
29 Sept
French Guiana
1 : 0
Sint Maarten
27 Sept
Sint Maarten
0 : 1
Belize
30 Mar
Dominica
0 : 0
Sint Maarten
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sint Maarten 6 3 2 1 19:9 11
2 Bonaire 6 3 1 2 12:11 10
3 Turks and Caicos Islands 6 3 0 3 10:16 9
4 United States Virgin Islands 6 1 1 4 5:10 4
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saint Kitts and Nevis 4 3 1 0 9:4 10
2 Aruba 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
3 Saint Martin 4 0 2 2 2:7 2
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saint Lucia 4 4 0 0 8:2 12
2 Anguilla 4 0 2 2 2:5 2
3 Dominica 4 0 2 2 2:5 2
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puerto Rico 4 4 0 0 17:2 12
2 Cayman Islands 4 0 2 2 3:10 2
3 British Virgin Islands 4 0 2 2 3:11 2
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 (League B)