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United States Virgin Islands vs Turks and Caicos Islands

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Paul J.
40' Event
Rodriguez C.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between United States Virgin Islands and Turks and Caicos Islands finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward United States Virgin Islands.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
United States Virgin Islands
33%
Draws
27%
Turks and Caicos Islands
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: United States Virgin Islands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • United States Virgin Islands haven't matched Turks and Caicos Islands's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans United States Virgin Islands's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • United States Virgin Islands have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
United States Virgin Islands Clean Sheet 13%
Turks and Caicos Islands Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric United States Virgin Islands Turks and Caicos Islands
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 7
Draws 4 3
Losses 22 19
Goals Scored 0.88 0.63
Goals Conceded 2.75 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2025 Friendly International
United States Virgin Islands vs Turks and Caicos Islands
2:1
Mar 25, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Turks and Caicos Islands vs United States Virgin Islands
1:0
Jun 6, 2022 CONCACAF Nations League
United States Virgin Islands vs Turks and Caicos Islands
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

United States Virgin Islands Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Turks and Caicos Islands Compare

Top Goalscorer Paul J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

United States Virgin Islands 39 / 100
Turks and Caicos Islands 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
United States Virgin Islands Turks and Caicos Islands

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Turks and Caicos Islands conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Turks and Caicos Islands has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: United States Virgin Islands scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

United States Virgin Islands VS Turks and Caicos Islands
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
2.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

United States Virgin Islands

(Home)
29 Mar
Puerto Rico
2 : 0
United States Virgin Islands
25 Mar
United States Virgin Islands
5 : 2
American Samoa
15 Nov
Grenada
4 : 1
United States Virgin Islands
14 Aug
United States Virgin Islands
2 : 1
Turks and Caicos Islands
13 Oct
Bahamas
3 : 1
United States Virgin Islands
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Turks and Caicos Islands

(Away)
14 Aug
United States Virgin Islands
2 : 1
Turks and Caicos Islands
16 Oct
Belize
3 : 0
Turks and Caicos Islands
13 Oct
Turks and Caicos Islands
2 : 1
Anguilla
07 Sept
Turks and Caicos Islands
0 : 4
Belize
04 Sept
Anguilla
2 : 0
Turks and Caicos Islands
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