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United States Virgin Islands W vs Curacao W

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship Women 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

United States Virgin Islands W play Curacao W in the CONCACAF Championship Women 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, United States Virgin Islands W averaged 1.03 goals scored and 3.55 conceded. Curacao W averaged 1.68 goals scored and 2.42 conceded. In past meetings, United States Virgin Islands W won 0, Curacao W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 6, 2022 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.69 for United States Virgin Islands W and 1.50 for Curacao W. This points to a Curacao W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
United States Virgin Islands W
15%
Draws
55%
Curacao W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Curacao W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • United States Virgin Islands W picked up more points recently compared to Curacao W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.69 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29%
United States Virgin Islands W Clean Sheet 16%
Curacao W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric United States Virgin Islands W Curacao W
Matches Played 31 19
Wins 9 8
Draws 1 1
Losses 21 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.68
Goals Conceded 3.55 2.42
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2022 CONCACAF Championship Women
United States Virgin Islands W vs Curacao W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

United States Virgin Islands W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Curacao W Compare

Top Goalscorer Tokaay R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

United States Virgin Islands W 30 / 100
Curacao W 52 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
United States Virgin Islands W Curacao W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Curacao W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Curacao W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.43
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

United States Virgin Islands W attacking → ← attacking Curacao W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

United States Virgin Islands W scored in 39% of their last 31 games.

Curacao W let in goals in 74% of their last 19 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

United States Virgin Islands W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Curacao W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 25
2.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.75