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Univ. Cotopaxi vs Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie B 2013 game between Univ. Cotopaxi and Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Univ. Cotopaxi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Univ. Cotopaxi
6%
Draws
4%
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Univ. Cotopaxi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Univ. Cotopaxi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Univ. Cotopaxi a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B 2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Univ. Cotopaxi Clean Sheet 17%
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Univ. Cotopaxi Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 8 9
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 1.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2013 Serie B
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios vs Univ. Cotopaxi
1:1
Aug 31, 2013 Serie B
Univ. Cotopaxi vs Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
2:0
Jun 23, 2013 Serie B
Univ. Cotopaxi vs Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
1:1
Mar 9, 2013 Serie B
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios vs Univ. Cotopaxi
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Univ. Cotopaxi 84 / 100
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Univ. Cotopaxi Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Univ. Cotopaxi scored in 82% of their last 33 games.

Defensive concern: Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Univ. Cotopaxi stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Univ. Cotopaxi VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olmedo442951076:4392
2Mushuc Runa442491152:4481
3Imbabura4421111263:4774
4Aucas442161769:5369
5Guayaquil City4418141257:4368
6Tecnico U.4417141360:5365
7Deportivo Municipal441682048:6056
8Espoli4413102144:5549
9Univ. Cotopaxi441392248:5748
10Dep. Azogues4411132049:7046
11CSCD Grecia4411122144:6445
12Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios448132347:6837