Sport Picks
Universidad Central vs Carabobo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Venezuela
Liga FUTVE Estadio Olimpico de la UCV, Caracas 
Match Events
21'
21'
Castillo B.
Assist: Berios J.
23'
23'
Lugo W.
31'
31'
Perez J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga FUTVE matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
35%
34%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Carabobo have won more games recently than Universidad Central.
- Model gives Universidad Central a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Universidad Central Clean Sheet 20%
Carabobo Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Universidad Central | Carabobo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Universidad Central vs Carabobo
1:1
Apr 12, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Carabobo vs Universidad Central
4:2
Dec 6, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Carabobo vs Universidad Central
0:2
Nov 30, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Universidad Central vs Carabobo
1:1
Oct 8, 2025 Copa Venezuela
Carabobo vs Universidad Central
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Universidad Central Compare
Top Goalscorer Zapata J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Carabobo Compare
Top Goalscorer Castillo B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Universidad Central 42 / 100
Carabobo 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Universidad Central Carabobo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Universidad Central remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Universidad Central scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Carabobo conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Universidad Central VS Carabobo
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Universidad Central
(Home) 19 Sept
Universidad Central
1 : 1 Carabobo
15 Sept
Universidad Central
1 : 0 Academia Anzoategui
12 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
0 : 2 Universidad Central
07 Sept
Universidad Central
0 : 0 Academia Puerto Cabello
03 Sept
Estudiantes Merida
1 : 1 Universidad Central
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Universidad Central
1 : 1 Carabobo
15 Sept
Universidad Central
1 : 0 Academia Anzoategui
07 Sept
Universidad Central
0 : 0 Academia Puerto Cabello
31 Aug
Universidad Central
4 : 1 Rayo Zuliano
15 Aug
Universidad Central
0 : 1 Caracas
Page 1 of 3
Carabobo
(Away) 19 Sept
Universidad Central
1 : 1 Carabobo
15 Sept
Carabobo
1 : 0 Deportivo La Guaira
12 Sept
Academia Puerto Cabello
0 : 2 Carabobo
07 Sept
Carabobo
1 : 0 Estudiantes Merida
03 Sept
Rayo Zuliano
4 : 3 Carabobo
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Universidad Central
1 : 1 Carabobo
12 Sept
Academia Puerto Cabello
0 : 2 Carabobo
03 Sept
Rayo Zuliano
4 : 3 Carabobo
21 Aug
Caracas
1 : 1 Carabobo
08 Aug
Monagas
1 : 0 Carabobo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metropolitanos | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 24:9 | 28 |
| 2 | Dep. Tachira | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 24:14 | 23 |
| 3 | Academia Puerto Cabello | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Carabobo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12:8 | 18 |
| 5 | Portuguesa | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 14:12 | 17 |
| 6 | Deportivo La Guaira | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 21:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Estudiantes Merida | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 16 |
| 8 | Universidad Central | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 9 | Monagas | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:13 | 14 |
| 10 | Caracas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:14 | 11 |
| 11 | Rayo Zuliano | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:23 | 11 |
| 12 | Trujillanos | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | 11 |
| 13 | Zamora | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:21 | 8 |
| 14 | Academia Anzoategui | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6:20 | 5 |
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular)
