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Universidad Central vs Caracas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio Olimpico de la UCV, Caracas
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Match Events

9'
Hernandez Ochoa J. S.
19' Event
Hernandez R.
Assist: Pagano L.
27'
Hernandez R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga FUTVE game between Universidad Central and Caracas finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caracas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Universidad Central
35%
Draws
28%
Caracas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Universidad Central

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Caracas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Universidad Central a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga FUTVE form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Universidad Central Clean Sheet 20%
Caracas Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Universidad Central Caracas
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 7 10
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.24 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Universidad Central vs Caracas
0:1
Feb 22, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Caracas vs Universidad Central
1:2
Oct 5, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Caracas vs Universidad Central
1:5
Apr 27, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Universidad Central vs Caracas
1:3
Oct 13, 2024 Liga FUTVE
Universidad Central vs Caracas
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Universidad Central Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Caracas Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Universidad Central 76 / 100
Caracas 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Universidad Central Caracas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Universidad Central Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Universidad Central went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Universidad Central's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Caracas let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Universidad Central VS Caracas
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Universidad Central

(Home)
19 Sept
Universidad Central
1 : 1
Carabobo
15 Sept
Universidad Central
1 : 0
Academia Anzoategui
12 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
0 : 2
Universidad Central
07 Sept
Universidad Central
0 : 0
Academia Puerto Cabello
03 Sept
Estudiantes Merida
1 : 1
Universidad Central
Page 1 of 6

Caracas

(Away)
07 Oct
Caracas
1 : 0
Yaracuyanos
20 Sept
Academia Anzoategui
1 : 1
Caracas
16 Sept
Metropolitanos
3 : 0
Caracas
13 Sept
Caracas
0 : 1
Monagas
09 Sept
Barquisimeto
0 : 5
Caracas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Metropolitanos 11 9 1 1 24:9 28
2 Dep. Tachira 11 7 2 2 24:14 23
3 Academia Puerto Cabello 11 5 4 2 15:9 19
4 Carabobo 11 5 3 3 12:8 18
5 Portuguesa 11 4 5 2 14:12 17
6 Deportivo La Guaira 11 5 1 5 21:16 16
7 Estudiantes Merida 11 4 4 3 12:12 16
8 Universidad Central 11 4 3 4 12:11 15
9 Monagas 11 4 2 5 12:13 14
10 Caracas 11 2 5 4 9:14 11
11 Rayo Zuliano 11 3 2 6 17:23 11
12 Trujillanos 11 3 2 6 12:18 11
13 Zamora 11 2 2 7 10:21 8
14 Academia Anzoategui 11 1 2 8 6:20 5
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular)