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Stadium Background

Universidad Central vs Monagas

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio Olimpico de la UCV, Caracas
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Rodriguez R.
39' Event
Silva K.
Assist: Peraza E.
46'
Sub
Romero A. In: Ramirez C.
Out: Romero A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga FUTVE game between Universidad Central and Monagas finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Universidad Central.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Universidad Central
35%
Draws
34%
Monagas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Universidad Central haven't matched Monagas's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Universidad Central's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Liga FUTVE form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Universidad Central Clean Sheet 17%
Monagas Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Universidad Central Monagas
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 7 4
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.26 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 4, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Universidad Central vs Monagas
2:1
Feb 7, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Monagas vs Universidad Central
0:3
Sep 14, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Monagas vs Universidad Central
2:0
Apr 4, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Universidad Central vs Monagas
0:0
Aug 14, 2024 Liga FUTVE
Monagas vs Universidad Central
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Universidad Central Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zapata J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Monagas Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Universidad Central 36 / 100
Monagas 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Universidad Central Monagas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Universidad Central went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Universidad Central's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Monagas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Universidad Central VS Monagas
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Universidad Central

(Home)
19 Sept
Universidad Central
1 : 1
Carabobo
15 Sept
Universidad Central
1 : 0
Academia Anzoategui
12 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
0 : 2
Universidad Central
07 Sept
Universidad Central
0 : 0
Academia Puerto Cabello
03 Sept
Estudiantes Merida
1 : 1
Universidad Central
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Monagas

(Away)
19 Sept
Rayo Zuliano
1 : 1
Monagas
16 Sept
Monagas
1 : 0
Zamora
13 Sept
Caracas
0 : 1
Monagas
09 Sept
Monagas
5 : 1
Bolivar
06 Sept
Monagas
0 : 1
Metropolitanos
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Metropolitanos 11 9 1 1 24:9 28
2 Dep. Tachira 11 7 2 2 24:14 23
3 Academia Puerto Cabello 11 5 4 2 15:9 19
4 Carabobo 11 5 3 3 12:8 18
5 Portuguesa 11 4 5 2 14:12 17
6 Deportivo La Guaira 11 5 1 5 21:16 16
7 Estudiantes Merida 11 4 4 3 12:12 16
8 Universidad Central 11 4 3 4 12:11 15
9 Monagas 11 4 2 5 12:13 14
10 Caracas 11 2 5 4 9:14 11
11 Rayo Zuliano 11 3 2 6 17:23 11
12 Trujillanos 11 3 2 6 12:18 11
13 Zamora 11 2 2 7 10:21 8
14 Academia Anzoategui 11 1 2 8 6:20 5
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular)