Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Universidad Central vs Santos

South America South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Olimpico de la UCV, Caracas
Universidad Central Logo

Universidad Central

1 - 4
FT
Santos Logo

Santos

Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Sole F.
22'
Gabriel Menino
35' Event
Gabriel Bontempo
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-2. The second leg ended 1-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Universidad Central
30%
Draws
43%
Santos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Santos come out ahead of Universidad Central on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Santos arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Santos, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Universidad Central Clean Sheet 20%
Santos Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Universidad Central Santos
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 8 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 1.17 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.01 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Santos vs Universidad Central
4:2
Jul 22, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Universidad Central vs Santos
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Universidad Central Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruiz M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.51

Santos Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Bontempo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gabriel Menino
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Universidad Central 32 / 100
Santos 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Universidad Central Santos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Universidad Central found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Universidad Central has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Santos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 26 matches.

Scoring Trends

Universidad Central VS Santos
1.14 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
71% Over 1.5 63%
29% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Universidad Central

(Home)
12 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
0 : 2
Universidad Central
07 Sept
Universidad Central
0 : 0
Academia Puerto Cabello
03 Sept
Estudiantes Merida
1 : 1
Universidad Central
31 Aug
Universidad Central
4 : 1
Rayo Zuliano
22 Aug
Zamora
2 : 0
Universidad Central
Page 1 of 6

Santos

(Away)
13 Sept
Santos
2 : 1
Cruzeiro
09 Sept
Santos
2 : 0
Atletico-MG
06 Sept
Internacional
2 : 3
Santos
03 Sept
Santos
0 : 0
Palmeiras
30 Aug
Corinthians
0 : 1
Santos
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Boca Juniors 2
O Higgins 1
TBD -
Recoleta -
Bolivar 4
Gremio 2
TBD -
Sao Paulo -
Santa Fe 5
Caracas 0
TBD -
River Plate -
Ind. Medellin 2
Vasco 3
TBD -
Olimpia Asuncion -
Sporting Cristal 0
Bragantino 1
TBD -
Atletico-MG -
Universidad Central 3
Santos 8
TBD -
Macara -
Club Nacional 2
Tigre 4
TBD -
Montevideo City -
Lanus 2
Cienciano 4
TBD -
Botafogo RJ -
1/8-finals
Boca Juniors 7
Recoleta 1
Bolivar 2
Sao Paulo 4
Santa Fe 2
River Plate 1
Vasco 4
Olimpia Asuncion 1
Bragantino 2
Atletico-MG 3
Santos 2
Macara 1
Tigre 1
Montevideo City 3
Cienciano 6
Botafogo RJ 2
Quarter-finals
Boca Juniors 1
Sao Paulo 0
Santa Fe 0
Vasco 0
Atletico-MG 0
Santos 2
Montevideo City 0
Cienciano 2
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -