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Universidad de Zaragoza vs Valdefierro

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Tercera Division - Group 17 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 17 2011/2012 game between Universidad de Zaragoza and Valdefierro finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valdefierro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Universidad de Zaragoza
17%
Draws
13%
Valdefierro
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Universidad de Zaragoza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Universidad de Zaragoza carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Universidad de Zaragoza are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Universidad de Zaragoza Clean Sheet 20%
Valdefierro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Universidad de Zaragoza Valdefierro
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 0 0.63
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Universidad de Zaragoza vs Valdefierro
1:3
Sep 11, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Valdefierro vs Universidad de Zaragoza
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Universidad de Zaragoza 67 / 100
Valdefierro 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Universidad de Zaragoza Valdefierro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Valdefierro conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Universidad de Zaragoza scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Universidad de Zaragoza has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Valdefierro
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Universidad de Zaragoza

(Home)
12 May
Utebo FC
2 : 2
Universidad de Zaragoza
06 May
Universidad de Zaragoza
1 : 0
Villanueva CF
01 May
UD San Jose
2 : 3
Universidad de Zaragoza
29 Apr
Universidad de Zaragoza
0 : 2
SD Ejea
22 Apr
CD Quinto
0 : 0
Universidad de Zaragoza
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Valdefierro

(Away)
13 Jun
Valdefierro
3 : 1
Sabinanigo
06 Jun
Sarinena
5 : 0
Valdefierro
30 May
Valdefierro
3 : 2
Villanueva CF
23 May
Epila
1 : 0
Valdefierro
16 May
Valdefierro
0 : 1
Almudevar
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SD Ejea382211576:3777
2Sarinena382210666:2776
3CD Cuarte38219868:4072
4Utebo FC381813757:3367
5Valdefierro381981152:3765
6Sabinanigo381791257:4560
7Atletico Calatayud3815131046:3258
8Villanueva CF381691360:4957
9Binefar3814121245:4154
10UD Barbastro3813121360:6251
11Oliver381491554:5651
12Ebro381481648:5050
13Atletico Monzon3812121443:4948
14Tarazona3812101643:5046
15Robres381291739:5245
16Universidad de Zaragoza381371855:6643
17CD Tauste3810101852:6140
18Giner Torrero38872340:7131
19CD Quinto38792223:6730
20UD San Jose38552834:9320
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)