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Universidad San Marcos vs Coronel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Segunda Division 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division 2011 game between Universidad San Marcos and Coronel finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Universidad San Marcos
35%
Draws
40%
Coronel
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Coronel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Universidad San Marcos haven't matched Coronel's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Universidad San Marcos's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Universidad San Marcos Clean Sheet 19%
Coronel Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Universidad San Marcos Coronel
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 8 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.47 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 4, 2011 Liga 2
Universidad San Marcos vs Coronel
2:2
Oct 30, 2011 Liga 2
Coronel vs Universidad San Marcos
3:0
Jul 22, 2011 Liga 2
Universidad San Marcos vs Coronel
1:5
May 15, 2011 Liga 2
Coronel vs Universidad San Marcos
3:3
Sep 19, 2010 Liga 2
Coronel vs Universidad San Marcos
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Universidad San Marcos 42 / 100
Coronel 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Universidad San Marcos Coronel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Universidad San Marcos scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Coronel let in goals in 76% of their last 34 matches.

Universidad San Marcos went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Coronel
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Universidad San Marcos

(Home)
10 Dec
Universidad San Marcos
1 : 1
Atletico Torino
04 Dec
Universidad San Marcos
2 : 2
Coronel
26 Nov
CD Hijos de Acosvinchos
0 : 3
Universidad San Marcos
11 Nov
Universidad San Marcos
1 : 5
U de America
06 Nov
Atletico Torino
3 : 1
Universidad San Marcos
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Coronel

(Away)
26 Nov
Mariategui de Picota
4 : 0
Coronel
19 Nov
Coronel
2 : 1
Mariategui de Picota
12 Nov
Coronel
1 : 1
Sport La Vid
05 Nov
Sport La Vid
1 : 1
Coronel
15 Nov
Coronel
2 : 1
Defensor La Bocana
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