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Universitario Beni vs Real Mapajo

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Nacional B 2023 game between Universitario Beni and Real Mapajo finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Universitario Beni.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Universitario Beni
6%
Draws
4%
Real Mapajo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Universitario Beni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Real Mapajo haven't matched Universitario Beni's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Universitario Beni taking it.
  • Regular Nacional B 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Universitario Beni here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Universitario Beni Clean Sheet 20%
Real Mapajo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Universitario Beni Real Mapajo
Matches Played 32 14
Wins 15 0
Draws 5 2
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 2 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Universitario Beni vs Real Mapajo
3:1
Oct 7, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Real Mapajo vs Universitario Beni
0:0
Nov 6, 2014 Copa Simon Bolivar
Universitario Beni vs Real Mapajo
1:0
Oct 25, 2014 Copa Simon Bolivar
Real Mapajo vs Universitario Beni
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Universitario Beni 85 / 100
Real Mapajo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Universitario Beni Real Mapajo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Universitario Beni scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Real Mapajo has conceded goals in 93% of their last 14 outings.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Universitario Beni went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Universitario Beni VS Real Mapajo
2 Goals Scored 0.83
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.17
88% Over 1.5 83%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 33%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Potosi43017:19
2Nacional Sucre42024:76
3Hiska Nacional41033:63
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Mizque42118:67
2Universitario de Pando42115:77
3Stormers SL41036:63
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1GV San Jose43017:39
2Real Oruro42114:37
3Municipalidad de Yacuiba40132:71
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Torre Fuerte42115:47
2Pasion Celeste42027:86
3Fancesa41128:84
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Antonio Bulo Bulo430120:29
2Atletico Bermejo43019:59
3San Lorenzo del Beni40043:250
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Municipal de Tarija431010:410
2Fatic42026:36
3Sur-Car40135:141
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
124 de Septiembre42118:57
2Universitario Beni42116:67
3Real Mapajo40223:62
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz43109:210
2Deportivo Aleman41219:85
3Academia del Balompie40134:121