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Universitario Beni vs Real Mapajo

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Nacional B 2023 game between Universitario Beni and Real Mapajo finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Universitario Beni.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Universitario Beni
20%
Draws
80%
Real Mapajo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Mapajo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Real Mapajo haven't matched Universitario Beni's recent run of results.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Real Mapajo taking it.
  • Regular Nacional B 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Universitario Beni here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Universitario Beni Clean Sheet 20%
Real Mapajo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Universitario Beni Real Mapajo
Matches Played 35 14
Wins 17 0
Draws 4 2
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.54 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.69 3.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.71 0.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Universitario Beni vs Real Mapajo
3:1
Oct 7, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Real Mapajo vs Universitario Beni
0:0
Nov 6, 2014 Copa Simon Bolivar
Universitario Beni vs Real Mapajo
1:0
Oct 25, 2014 Copa Simon Bolivar
Real Mapajo vs Universitario Beni
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Universitario Beni 28 / 100
Real Mapajo 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Universitario Beni Real Mapajo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Mapajo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Mapajo let in goals in 93% of their last 14 matches.

Attacking prowess: Universitario Beni scored in 77% of their last 35 outings.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Real Mapajo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Universitario Beni VS Real Mapajo
1.25 Goals Scored 0.83
1 Goals Conceded 2.17
50% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Universitario Beni

(Home)
19 Sept
Tiquipaya
6 : 0
Universitario Beni
12 Sept
Universitario Beni
1 : 4
Virginia
05 Sept
Universitario Beni
1 : 2
Tiquipaya
31 Aug
Virginia
2 : 0
Universitario Beni
23 Aug
Universitario Beni
0 : 1
San Martin de Yacuiba
Page 1 of 7

Real Mapajo

(Away)
28 Oct
Universitario Beni
3 : 1
Real Mapajo
22 Oct
Real Mapajo
1 : 2
24 de Septiembre
07 Oct
Real Mapajo
0 : 0
Universitario Beni
30 Sept
24 de Septiembre
1 : 1
Real Mapajo
01 Jul
Universitario de Pando
5 : 2
Real Mapajo
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Potosi 4 3 0 1 7:1 9
2 Nacional Sucre 4 2 0 2 4:7 6
3 Hiska Nacional 4 1 0 3 3:6 3
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Mizque 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
2 Universitario de Pando 4 2 1 1 5:7 7
3 Stormers SL 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GV San Jose 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
2 Real Oruro 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
3 Municipalidad de Yacuiba 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Torre Fuerte 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
2 Pasion Celeste 4 2 0 2 7:8 6
3 Fancesa 4 1 1 2 8:8 4
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 4 3 0 1 20:2 9
2 Atletico Bermejo 4 3 0 1 9:5 9
3 San Lorenzo del Beni 4 0 0 4 3:25 0
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Municipal de Tarija 4 3 1 0 10:4 10
2 Fatic 4 2 0 2 6:3 6
3 Sur-Car 4 0 1 3 5:14 1
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 24 de Septiembre 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
2 Universitario Beni 4 2 1 1 6:6 7
3 Real Mapajo 4 0 2 2 3:6 2
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 4 3 1 0 9:2 10
2 Deportivo Aleman 4 1 2 1 9:8 5
3 Academia del Balompie 4 0 1 3 4:12 1
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)