Sport Picks
Universitario de Deportes vs Cusco
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio Monumental, Lima 
Match Events
20'
20'
Valera A.
Assist: Alzugaray L.
28'
28'
Rivera J.
38'
38'
Fuentes A.
AI Match Summary
Universitario de Deportes in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Universitario de Deportes.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
15%
40%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Universitario de Deportes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Cusco average 1.4 goals a game right now, well clear of Universitario de Deportes's 1.38.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Universitario de Deportes Clean Sheet 14%
Cusco Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Universitario de Deportes | Cusco |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 25, 2026 Liga 1
Universitario de Deportes vs Cusco
2:1
Feb 8, 2026 Liga 1
Cusco vs Universitario de Deportes
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 Liga 1
Universitario de Deportes vs Cusco
3:2
May 3, 2025 Liga 1
Cusco vs Universitario de Deportes
2:0
Aug 20, 2024 Liga 1
Cusco vs Universitario de Deportes
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Universitario de Deportes Compare
Top Goalscorer Valera A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lapadula G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Cusco Compare
Top Goalscorer Callejo F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Universitario de Deportes 30 / 100
Cusco 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Universitario de Deportes Cusco
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Universitario de Deportes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Cusco conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
Universitario de Deportes found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Solid form: Universitario de Deportes remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Universitario de Deportes VS Cusco
2.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Universitario de Deportes
(Home) 19 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 0 Universitario de Deportes
13 Sept
A. Lima
1 : 2 Universitario de Deportes
06 Sept
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 2 Comerciantes Unidos
29 Aug
Cajamarca
2 : 4 Universitario de Deportes
23 Aug
Universitario de Deportes
3 : 0 Los Chankas
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 2 Comerciantes Unidos
23 Aug
Universitario de Deportes
3 : 0 Los Chankas
08 Aug
Universitario de Deportes
1 : 1 Sporting Cristal
25 Jul
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 1 Cusco
11 Jul
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 0 Millonarios
Page 1 of 3
Cusco
(Away) 19 Sept
FC Cajamarca
1 : 2 Cusco
12 Sept
Cusco
0 : 1 FBC Melgar
05 Sept
Cusco
2 : 0 Moquegua
31 Aug
Cienciano
1 : 2 Cusco
23 Aug
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 1 Cusco
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
FC Cajamarca
1 : 2 Cusco
31 Aug
Cienciano
1 : 2 Cusco
23 Aug
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 1 Cusco
07 Aug
Comerciantes Unidos
3 : 1 Cusco
25 Jul
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 1 Cusco
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 18:6 | 22 |
| 2 | Universitario de Deportes | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:10 | 19 |
| 4 | Alianza Atl. | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 5 | Sport Huancayo | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | 19 |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 18 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:9 | 18 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 9 | Cusco | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19:14 | 18 |
| 10 | A. Lima | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:13 | 16 |
| 12 | FC Cajamarca | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18:24 | 10 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | 9 |
| 14 | Cienciano | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 15 | Moquegua | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7:17 | 7 |
| 16 | Los Chankas | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 17 | Cajamarca | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11:24 | 2 |
| 18 | AD Tarma | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5:20 | 2 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)
